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Daily network digest

Thursday, July 11, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.89× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.175
Clustering
0.376
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01447 4.89× 67.7% 21.1% NKNUSD, ETHUSD, BLZUSD, VOXELUSD, CBETHUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01076 3.64× 47.5% 29.1% ORNUSD, RADUSD, XRPBTC, ERNUSD, GHSTUSD
TEERUSD 3 0.01053 3.56× 48.4% 26.7% UNIUSD, LITUSD, ELAUSD, RBNUSD, REPV2USD
DVFUSD 4 0.00981 3.32× 49.0% 17.8% LCXUSD, PNKUSD, SWFTCUSD, CVCUSD, CVXUSD
EULUSD 5 0.00928 3.14× 50.7% 12.8% BOBAUSD, XRPAUD, DVFUSD, MKRUSD, NODLUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00908 3.07× 47.8% 8.0% RUNEUSD, XDCUSD, HNTUSD, DVFUSD, FXUSD
KINUSD 7 0.00792 2.68× 38.0% 48.7% BCHUSD, SCRTUSD, MOVRUSD, MLNUSD, ANKRUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00783 2.65× 40.9% 15.4% BALUSD, TVKUSD, LPTUSD, QIUSD, RBNUSD
ETHBTC 9 0.00741 2.50× 44.5% 20.5% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, BSXUSD, ZECUSD, WCFGUSD
REPUSD 10 0.00736 2.49× 41.2% 11.9% HBARUSD, SGBUSD, CQTUSD, BCHEUR, LCXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.010530.00295 +0.00758
EULUSD 0.009280.00387 +0.00541
BTRSTUSD 0.010760.00596 +0.00480
DVFUSD 0.009810.00575 +0.00407
DESOUSD 0.014470.01041 +0.00406

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002810.01514 -0.01233
INTRUSD 0.002420.00915 -0.00673
KILTUSD 0.002550.00919 -0.00665
TIMEUSD 0.004650.01096 -0.00631
PAXGUSD 0.004560.01024 -0.00569

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 4.84× the influence of an average node across 611 pairs.

pairs
611
Density
0.017
Clustering
0.352
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00792 4.84× 2.3% 1.0% JPYCZK, CZKJPY, ZARAUD, SGDNOK, ZARSGD
GBPLYD 2 0.00792 4.84× 0.5% 0.3% ZMWUSD, USDZMW
ZMWUSD 3 0.00780 4.77× 2.5% 0.7% GBPLBP, GBPLYD, MADUSD, CLPMXN
USDZMW 4 0.00692 4.23× 2.6% 0.5% GBPLBP, GBPLYD, MADUSD
COPBRL 5 0.00680 4.15× 2.3% 1.6% BRLRSD, BRLCAD, USDKZT, KZTUSD, PKRUSD
PLNMXN 6 0.00656 4.01× 4.9% 1.8% MXNPLN, XAUUSD, NZDHUF, XAUSAR, DKKZAR
MXNPLN 7 0.00653 3.99× 3.9% 1.1% PLNMXN, NZDHUF, DKKZAR, XAUUSD, XAUSAR
CLPGBP 8 0.00635 3.88× 0.7% 0.5% CLPCHF, CHFCLP, GBPMUR
GBPLBP 9 0.00623 3.81× 1.0% 0.3% GBPLYD, ZMWUSD
EURRUB 10 0.00614 3.75× 6.9% 3.3% SGDARS, ARSMXN, ARSCAD, ARSCHF, GBPSCR

Rising influence vs 2024-07-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPLYD 0.007920.00193 +0.00599
GBPLBP 0.006230.00132 +0.00491
CLPGBP 0.006350.00154 +0.00481
XAUCNY 0.005260.00056 +0.00470
COPMXN 0.007920.00372 +0.00420

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ILSCAD 0.001750.00852 -0.00677
USDPLN 0.000550.00489 -0.00433
NZDZAR 0.002010.00596 -0.00395
XAGARS 0.000300.00425 -0.00394
NOKINR 0.001410.00510 -0.00368

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.