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Daily network digest

Friday, July 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.17× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.171
Clustering
0.368
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01535 5.17× 68.8% 17.9% ETHUSD, RARIEUR, BLZUSD, CBETHUSD, XYOUSD
TEERUSD 2 0.01159 3.91× 50.0% 22.3% KINUSD, RBNUSD, BTTUSD, ELAUSD, XRPUSD
DVFUSD 3 0.01115 3.76× 54.2% 22.0% PNKUSD, LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, CVXUSD, API3USD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01056 3.56× 45.8% 25.0% ORNUSD, XRPBTC, EWTUSD, RADUSD, HDXUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00940 3.17× 49.1% 12.8% RUNEUSD, XDCUSD, DVFUSD, TIMEUSD, MLNUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00846 2.85× 45.2% 19.3% BALUSD, LPTUSD, TVKUSD, QIUSD, LMWRUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.00815 2.75× 43.5% 21.4% XDCUSD, BNCUSD, ZECUSD, BSXUSD, WCFGUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00767 2.58× 43.5% 17.3% BOBAUSD, DOGEUSD, MKRUSD, BCHGBP, XDCUSD
ABTUSD 9 0.00669 2.25× 36.9% 27.4% BOBAUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, COMPUSD, BITUSD
REPUSD 10 0.00652 2.20× 37.5% 16.1% TONUSD, HBARUSD, LCXUSD, MATHUSD, GMXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011590.00312 +0.00847
DVFUSD 0.011150.00615 +0.00500
BTRSTUSD 0.010560.00605 +0.00451
DESOUSD 0.015350.01107 +0.00428
MEDIAUSD 0.005850.00172 +0.00413

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002760.01373 -0.01096
KILTUSD 0.002350.00881 -0.00646
PAXGUSD 0.004900.01080 -0.00590
TIMEUSD 0.004560.01038 -0.00582
INTRUSD 0.002310.00771 -0.00539

Foreign exchange

RUBNOK was the most central name, carrying 6.00× the influence of an average node across 670 pairs.

pairs
670
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.301
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBNOK 1 0.00895 6.00× 3.9% 1.6% EURZAR, PKRZAR, ZARPKR, HKDARS, BRLSEK
BRLCLP 2 0.00872 5.85× 1.3% 0.9% KRWUSD, TWDKRW, THBUSD, ZARILS, COPUSD
BRLAUD 3 0.00775 5.19× 1.5% 0.3% BRLMXN, BRLCOP
KWDEUR 4 0.00728 4.88× 6.0% 2.7% CDFUSD, USDMWK, EURBHD, EURKWD, PENUSD
CLPARS 5 0.00675 4.52× 3.6% 3.0% XAGJPY, XAGKRW, JPYGBP, GBPZAR, TRYPLN
ZAREUR 6 0.00663 4.44× 4.8% 7.8% ZARMAD, USDMAD, COPZAR, ZARCOP, MADZAR
BRLMXN 7 0.00648 4.34× 0.9% 3.0% CNYCHF, CNYSGD, BRLCOP, SEKZAR, CNYNZD
TWDTHB 8 0.00615 4.12× 4.3% 0.4% BRLPEN, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
GBPMUR 9 0.00587 3.93× 4.5% 0.7% ZARTHB, EURTWD, BRLPEN, NZDTHB, CLPCHF
ZARTRY 10 0.00557 3.73× 3.3% 1.2% CLPAUD, GBPBRL, AUDCLP, JPYILS, GBPNGN

Rising influence vs 2024-07-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLCLP 0.008720.00226 +0.00646
BRLAUD 0.007750.00194 +0.00581
TWDTHB 0.006150.00041 +0.00574
ZAREUR 0.006630.00119 +0.00545
RUBNOK 0.008950.00366 +0.00529

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.002980.00949 -0.00650
USDPGK 0.000990.00650 -0.00551
ZMWUSD 0.001230.00587 -0.00464
MXNPLN 0.003000.00762 -0.00463
GBPARS 0.001910.00574 -0.00383

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.