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Daily network digest

Thursday, July 4, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.61× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.170
Clustering
0.382
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01373 4.61× 61.8% 18.8% BNTUSD, LMWRUSD, QNTUSD, WILDUSD, MKRUSD
DESOUSD 2 0.01107 3.72× 52.5% 26.3% LSETHUSD, GMXUSD, TRACUSD, SANDUSD, BTCAUD
PAXGUSD 3 0.01080 3.63× 54.0% 17.3% LPTUSD, NEOUSD, PYRUSD, GNOUSD, STGUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.01038 3.49× 45.4% 23.0% STGUSD, NKNUSD, DESOUSD, AVTUSD, AURORAUSD
KILTUSD 5 0.00881 2.96× 43.6% 32.5% CBETHUSD, NYMUSD, MASKUSD, FXSUSD, HBARUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00874 2.94× 42.1% 14.3% IMXUSD, CRVUSD, MLNUSD, SBRUSD, EWTUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00866 2.91× 44.5% 24.5% BNTUSD, ELAUSD, RNDRUSD, UMAUSD, EWTUSD
GSTUSD 8 0.00816 2.74× 43.3% 7.8% ASMUSD, ETHBTC, SUIUSD, ETH2XUSD, BTCEUR
INTRUSD 9 0.00771 2.59× 47.2% 26.9% VETUSD, DOTUSD, ARBUSD, OXTUSD, KAVAUSD
XRDUSD 10 0.00720 2.42× 31.0% 15.5% KEEPUSD, RADUSD, BNCUSD, EWTUSD, BITUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.013730.00395 +0.00977
TIMEUSD 0.010380.00352 +0.00685
DESOUSD 0.011070.00466 +0.00642
KILTUSD 0.008810.00243 +0.00638
PAXGUSD 0.010800.00516 +0.00565

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000750.00750 -0.00675
KRLUSD 0.005410.01125 -0.00584
TLOSUSD 0.002470.00727 -0.00480
AERGOUSD 0.002600.00589 -0.00329
GNOUSD 0.003890.00688 -0.00298

Foreign exchange

COPMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.93× the influence of an average node across 625 pairs.

pairs
625
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
COPMXN 1 0.00949 5.93× 2.2% 2.2% GBPPEN, HTGGBP, GBPHTG, CZKJPY, BRLAUD
MXNPLN 2 0.00762 4.76× 4.0% 1.0% PLNMXN, NZDHUF, DKKZAR, CLPARS, XAUSAR
PLNMXN 3 0.00707 4.42× 4.8% 1.4% MXNPLN, DKKZAR, XAUSAR, XAUUSD, NZDHUF
USDPGK 4 0.00650 4.06× 7.2% 3.0% GBPBWP, BWPGBP, ZARBWP, USDBWP, GBPMWK
ZMWUSD 5 0.00587 3.67× 1.3% 0.3% CLPBRL, GBPLYD
MADUSD 6 0.00575 3.60× 5.1% 1.3% GBPUGX, EURTHB, GBPMWK, MWKGBP, MWKUSD
GBPARS 7 0.00574 3.59× 1.9% 0.2% COPMXN
XAURUB 8 0.00567 3.54× 5.0% 3.5% ZARPLN, XAUUSD, ZARTWD, PLNMXN, ZARIDR
ZARPLN 9 0.00540 3.38× 6.1% 2.4% XAGSAR, XAURUB, XAGCNY, MXNPLN, CADSEK
CLPARS 10 0.00531 3.32× 3.2% 3.0% XAGAUD, XAGEUR, XAGGBP, XAGCAD, XAGZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-07-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
COPMXN 0.009490.00333 +0.00616
USDPGK 0.006500.00161 +0.00489
XAUCNY 0.005220.00051 +0.00471
GBPARS 0.005740.00118 +0.00456
USDTHB 0.004230.00046 +0.00377

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTHB 0.000960.00828 -0.00732
ILSCAD 0.001310.00518 -0.00387
COPUSD 0.001660.00503 -0.00337
EURKWD 0.003040.00641 -0.00337
NZDMXN 0.002630.00583 -0.00320

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.