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Daily network digest

Tuesday, July 2, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.67× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.190
Clustering
0.396
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01389 4.67× 70.7% 20.6% ETHUSD, BLZUSD, ABTUSD, CBETHUSD, RARIEUR
TEERUSD 2 0.01097 3.69× 52.8% 25.1% ELAUSD, BTTUSD, LITUSD, KINUSD, SHPINGUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01050 3.53× 49.6% 32.5% ORNUSD, ERNUSD, HDXUSD, EWTUSD, RADUSD
DVFUSD 4 0.00937 3.15× 52.8% 17.6% PNKUSD, LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, BOBAUSD, CTXUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00902 3.03× 49.9% 20.3% RUNEUSD, XDCUSD, FXUSD, TVKUSD, KARUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00746 2.51× 44.8% 15.8% BALUSD, QIUSD, TVKUSD, LPTUSD, ANTUSD
ETHBTC 7 0.00732 2.46× 45.4% 26.9% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, BNCUSD, AUDIOUSD, ASMUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00706 2.37× 45.4% 16.1% BOBAUSD, AERGOUSD, DOGEUSD, XDCUSD, BTCAUD
CTXUSD 9 0.00689 2.31× 40.0% 8.4% TOKEUSD, GALUSD, PUNDIXUSD, MNAUSD, SANDUSD
ALEPHUSD 10 0.00678 2.28× 39.7% 16.1% BLZUSD, QTFUSD, TEERUSD, ROSEUSD, EOSUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.010970.00385 +0.00712
BTRSTUSD 0.010500.00639 +0.00412
ALEPHUSD 0.006780.00291 +0.00388
EULUSD 0.007060.00344 +0.00362
CVXUSD 0.005900.00234 +0.00356

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002680.01316 -0.01048
KILTUSD 0.002530.00901 -0.00647
TIMEUSD 0.004090.01050 -0.00641
PAXGUSD 0.004560.00985 -0.00529
INTRUSD 0.002290.00753 -0.00523

Foreign exchange

RUBNOK was the most central name, carrying 5.65× the influence of an average node across 675 pairs.

pairs
675
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.288
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBNOK 1 0.00836 5.65× 3.6% 1.9% EURZAR, ZARPKR, BRLSEK, PKRZAR, RUBPLN
BRLAUD 2 0.00741 5.00× 1.5% 0.3% BRLMXN, BRLCOP
ZAREUR 3 0.00720 4.86× 4.7% 7.3% ZARMAD, MADZAR, USDMAD, ZARCOP, COPZAR
BRLCLP 4 0.00705 4.76× 1.2% 0.9% KRWUSD, TWDKRW, ZARILS, THBUSD, COPUSD
KWDEUR 5 0.00621 4.19× 5.3% 3.0% EURKWD, USDMWK, EURBHD, CDFUSD, PENUSD
EURCOP 6 0.00606 4.09× 1.8% 0.7% EURMDL, GBPXPF, EURMWK, PKREUR, EURKES
NZDHUF 7 0.00578 3.90× 3.3% 0.0%
CLPARS 8 0.00555 3.75× 3.3% 3.1% XAGJPY, TRYPLN, GBPZAR, XAGCAD, XAGKRW
BRLMXN 9 0.00555 3.74× 0.9% 1.0% CNYCHF, CNYSGD, CNYNZD, CNYAUD, BRLCOP
BRLPEN 10 0.00554 3.74× 2.2% 0.1% BRLAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZAREUR 0.007200.00087 +0.00633
BRLJPY 0.005370.00036 +0.00501
BRLMXN 0.005550.00055 +0.00499
RUBNOK 0.008360.00339 +0.00498
BRLPEN 0.005540.00059 +0.00495

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.001660.00980 -0.00815
CLPGBP 0.000980.00702 -0.00604
MDLUSD 0.000950.00631 -0.00536
COPMXN 0.002580.00781 -0.00523
XAURUB 0.002050.00727 -0.00521

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.