catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, July 1, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.42× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.178
Clustering
0.389
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01316 4.42× 60.9% 18.8% LMWRUSD, BNTUSD, DEXTUSD, QNTUSD, GMXUSD
DESOUSD 2 0.01079 3.63× 55.5% 22.4% SANDUSD, LSETHUSD, INVUSD, VOXELUSD, GMXUSD
TIMEUSD 3 0.01050 3.53× 49.9% 19.7% STGUSD, REPV2USD, ACHUSD, DESOUSD, AURORAUSD
PAXGUSD 4 0.00985 3.31× 54.0% 17.0% NEOUSD, LPTUSD, PYRUSD, SKLUSD, STGUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00964 3.24× 50.4% 18.8% BNTUSD, ELAUSD, UMAUSD, XRPBTC, RNDRUSD
KILTUSD 6 0.00901 3.03× 44.2% 33.7% HBARUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, NYMUSD, MASKUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00792 2.66× 41.5% 15.2% CRVUSD, IMXUSD, AVTUSD, SBRUSD, INJUSD
AVTUSD 8 0.00769 2.58× 39.1% 11.3% GSTUSD, LTCBTC, RADUSD, GNOUSD, KINUSD
GSTUSD 9 0.00766 2.57× 42.4% 8.1% ASMUSD, SUIUSD, AVTUSD, TIMEUSD, REQUSD
ETH2XUSD 10 0.00760 2.55× 40.0% 22.7% GSTUSD, KAVAUSD, DESOUSD, CTSIUSD, XRPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.013160.00378 +0.00938
TIMEUSD 0.010500.00372 +0.00678
KILTUSD 0.009010.00237 +0.00663
DESOUSD 0.010790.00431 +0.00648
ETH2XUSD 0.007600.00264 +0.00496

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TLOSUSD 0.002180.00762 -0.00544
KRLUSD 0.005620.01049 -0.00487
AERGOUSD 0.001770.00641 -0.00464
SHPINGUSD 0.006160.00998 -0.00382
GNOUSD 0.003530.00704 -0.00351

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 6.19× the influence of an average node across 632 pairs.

pairs
632
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.351
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.00980 6.19× 4.3% 2.2% XAUSAR, XAUUSD, XAGCAD, XAUZAR, XAUINR
COPMXN 2 0.00781 4.93× 2.1% 1.1% JPYCZK, CZKJPY, SGDNOK, ZARSGD, ZARAUD
XAURUB 3 0.00727 4.59× 5.1% 2.1% USDFJD, FJDUSD, XAUUSD, ZARTWD, ZARIDR
ZARIDR 4 0.00706 4.46× 6.0% 2.1% XAGJPY, XAGBRL, XAGUSD, RUBSEK, XAGCNY
CLPGBP 5 0.00702 4.44× 0.8% 0.5% GBPMUR, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
MDLUSD 6 0.00631 3.99× 3.2% 0.0%
NZDAED 7 0.00612 3.87× 9.8% 5.4% EURBHD, EURAED, ARSMXN, AUDZAR, AEDNZD
USDZMW 8 0.00585 3.69× 2.7% 1.0% GBPLBP, GBPLYD, GHSUSD, MADUSD, USDMDL
XAGCAD 9 0.00577 3.65× 3.5% 1.9% XAUCNY, JPYCLP, ZARIDR, XAURUB, XAUKRW
GBPCOP 10 0.00561 3.54× 9.4% 2.2% AUDZAR, USDOMR, ZARCNY, ZARPKR, RUBPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-06-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.009800.00179 +0.00801
CLPGBP 0.007020.00083 +0.00619
MDLUSD 0.006310.00083 +0.00548
XAURUB 0.007270.00210 +0.00516
GBPARS 0.005400.00031 +0.00509

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZAREUR 0.000870.00728 -0.00641
ZARNZD 0.000930.00703 -0.00610
BRLJPY 0.000360.00558 -0.00522
LSLUSD 0.000510.00513 -0.00462
SZLUSD 0.000510.00509 -0.00458

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.