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Daily network digest

Thursday, June 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.71× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.179
Clustering
0.378
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01097 3.71× 53.7% 22.0% CVXUSD, CTXUSD, SWFTCUSD, LCXUSD, CHZUSD
DESOUSD 2 0.01086 3.67× 60.2% 28.8% NKNUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, EOSUSD, REPV2USD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01039 3.51× 45.7% 34.4% ORNUSD, EWTUSD, RADUSD, SUIUSD, XRPBTC
TEERUSD 4 0.00840 2.84× 42.1% 24.9% NYMUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, SHPINGUSD, LITUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00816 2.76× 43.0% 19.9% RUNEUSD, XDCUSD, LCXUSD, ADAUSD, TIMEUSD
CTXUSD 6 0.00768 2.60× 40.1% 13.4% BNCUSD, MNAUSD, ARPAUSD, UNIUSD, TOKEUSD
EULUSD 7 0.00710 2.40× 42.7% 13.4% BOBAUSD, AERGOUSD, HBARUSD, XDCUSD, NODLUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00699 2.36× 40.9% 17.5% TVKUSD, LPTUSD, BALUSD, CVXUSD, ANTUSD
INVUSD 9 0.00668 2.26× 38.3% 18.7% CTSIUSD, EULUSD, BTRSTUSD, THETAUSD, PONDUSD
MVUSD 10 0.00633 2.14× 37.1% 23.1% ARBUSD, AIRUSD, NMRUSD, SUIUSD, IOTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.008400.00282 +0.00558
DVFUSD 0.010970.00623 +0.00473
XRPBTC 0.008160.00411 +0.00405
CVXUSD 0.006110.00256 +0.00355
CTXUSD 0.007680.00431 +0.00337

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002780.01575 -0.01298
PAXGUSD 0.004950.01174 -0.00679
KILTUSD 0.002800.00883 -0.00603
INTRUSD 0.002370.00826 -0.00589
TIMEUSD 0.004080.00951 -0.00542

Foreign exchange

JODILS was the most central name, carrying 5.44× the influence of an average node across 668 pairs.

pairs
668
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.343
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
JODILS 1 0.00814 5.44× 1.8% 1.0% TRYCHF, JPYARS, BRLEUR, BRLCHF, GBPSAR
BHDEUR 2 0.00734 4.90× 1.3% 0.7% MYRZAR, USDKZT, KZTUSD, PKRUSD, EURRUB
PLNMXN 3 0.00651 4.35× 4.2% 1.5% MXNPLN, USDFJD, FJDUSD, NZDHUF, XAUUSD
THBEUR 4 0.00650 4.34× 1.0% 1.2% GBPALL, EURAED, BRLCAD, BRLRSD, ALLUSD
THBGBP 5 0.00637 4.26× 5.1% 4.5% NZDCNY, LSLGBP, AUDAED, NZDAED, GBPUGX
ZARHUF 6 0.00617 4.12× 0.6% 1.5% COPMXN, AUDTHB, NZDTHB, HUFUSD, HTGGBP
MXNPLN 7 0.00593 3.96× 3.4% 1.0% PLNMXN, FJDUSD, NZDHUF, USDFJD, XAUUSD
XAURUB 8 0.00586 3.91× 4.6% 2.5% FJDUSD, USDFJD, ZARPLN, PLNMXN, XAUUSD
RUBNOK 9 0.00546 3.65× 7.3% 3.7% NZDAED, AUDAED, ZARMWK, MWKZAR, GBPCDF
ZARPLN 10 0.00522 3.49× 5.4% 1.9% XAGSAR, MXNPLN, XAURUB, XAGINR, PLNMXN

Rising influence vs 2024-06-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JODILS 0.008140.00155 +0.00660
BHDEUR 0.007340.00122 +0.00612
THBEUR 0.006500.00200 +0.00450
USDCLP 0.004990.00054 +0.00445
THBGBP 0.006370.00195 +0.00443

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTHB 0.000920.00805 -0.00712
NZDZAR 0.001380.00791 -0.00653
XAUARS 0.000560.00560 -0.00504
EURKWD 0.002430.00671 -0.00428
AUDSEK 0.000350.00432 -0.00398

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.