catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.32× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.159
Clustering
0.359
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01575 5.32× 64.1% 13.4% DEXTUSD, BNTUSD, QNTUSD, LMWRUSD, WILDUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01174 3.97× 53.1% 15.7% NEOUSD, LPTUSD, STGUSD, PYRUSD, SKLUSD
DESOUSD 3 0.00962 3.25× 46.3% 26.7% ETH2XUSD, LSETHUSD, GLMUSD, BTCAUD, TRACUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.00951 3.21× 41.2% 23.4% STGUSD, NKNUSD, DESOUSD, APEUSD, COMPUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00948 3.20× 45.7% 18.4% BNTUSD, ELAUSD, RNDRUSD, KILTUSD, LOKAUSD
KILTUSD 6 0.00883 2.99× 36.8% 36.5% HBARUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, BONDUSD, FARMUSD
AVTUSD 7 0.00857 2.90× 41.5% 8.3% GSTUSD, BTRSTUSD, KINUSD, RADUSD, GNOUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.00848 2.87× 35.6% 11.6% EWTUSD, RADUSD, BITUSD, KILTUSD, KEEPUSD
INTRUSD 9 0.00826 2.79× 43.9% 29.4% VETUSD, DOTUSD, KAVAUSD, TUSD, TLOSUSD
SHPINGUSD 10 0.00804 2.72× 38.3% 14.2% ETH2XUSD, LSETHUSD, GLMRUSD, FISUSD, COMPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.015750.00376 +0.01199
DESOUSD 0.009620.00268 +0.00694
KILTUSD 0.008830.00221 +0.00662
TIMEUSD 0.009510.00328 +0.00623
PAXGUSD 0.011740.00580 +0.00594

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.000790.01104 -0.01025
AERGOUSD 0.001620.00742 -0.00580
KRLUSD 0.004920.01016 -0.00524
TLOSUSD 0.002180.00685 -0.00467
XRPBTC 0.004110.00836 -0.00425

Foreign exchange

ZARTHB was the most central name, carrying 5.51× the influence of an average node across 685 pairs.

pairs
685
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.318
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTHB 1 0.00805 5.51× 1.8% 2.3% ARSGBP, ARSAUD, BRLARS, ZARAUD, USDCOP
NZDZAR 2 0.00791 5.42× 7.0% 4.1% ZARGHS, GBPCOP, MADZAR, GHSZAR, PLNILS
EURKWD 3 0.00671 4.59× 3.5% 5.0% KWDEUR, SZLCHF, USDALL, THBEUR, MXNCOP
ZARHUF 4 0.00622 4.26× 1.6% 1.5% GBPHTG, GBPCRC, CRCGBP, BRLAUD, HTGGBP
ZARIDR 5 0.00608 4.17× 4.4% 1.9% XAURUB, PLNCZK, INRMYR, HKDMYR, CADMYR
XAUARS 6 0.00560 3.84× 1.0% 0.3% NOKRUB, XAGUSD
THBUSD 7 0.00485 3.32× 1.0% 0.9% JPYILS, NOKUSD, CHFILS, AUDILS, BRLCLP
MDLUSD 8 0.00476 3.26× 3.4% 1.0% PLNHUF, PLNCHF, PLNJPY, SGDPLN, JPYPLN
COPUSD 9 0.00464 3.18× 2.8% 1.3% MXNCHF, CHFMXN, ILSCHF, PENARS, EURARS
AUDZAR 10 0.00440 3.02× 6.0% 3.2% ZARGHS, GHSZAR, BRLHKD, MADZAR, SCRGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-06-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTHB 0.008050.00175 +0.00629
NZDZAR 0.007910.00197 +0.00595
ZARHUF 0.006220.00199 +0.00423
XAUARS 0.005600.00143 +0.00417
USDMVR 0.003940.00042 +0.00352

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.000840.00980 -0.00896
JPYPKR 0.000310.00919 -0.00889
PKRJPY 0.001260.01001 -0.00875
ZARINR 0.001800.00873 -0.00693
CLPAUD 0.003300.00885 -0.00555

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.