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Daily network digest

Tuesday, June 18, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TSDUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.72× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.171
Clustering
0.377
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TSDUSD 1 0.01104 3.72× 59.5% 39.6% POLISUSD, HOPRUSD, EGLDUSD, VETUSD, KSMUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01097 3.70× 52.1% 25.0% WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, XYOUSD, FIDAUSD, IOTUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.01016 3.42× 47.9% 12.8% XRPBTC, UMAUSD, LTCBTC, KEEPUSD, RADUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.00926 3.12× 44.9% 33.6% XRPBTC, HDXUSD, PNGUSD, MATICUSD, MASKUSD
SHPINGUSD 5 0.00849 2.86× 39.6% 28.3% EWTUSD, MLNUSD, IOTUSD, BTCJPY, DOTUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00848 2.86× 41.4% 16.1% CROUSD, BNTUSD, KEYUSD, KINTUSD, BTCUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.00836 2.82× 41.1% 13.1% DNTUSD, KEYUSD, TLOSUSD, AKTUSD, RBNUSD
AERGOUSD 8 0.00742 2.50× 38.1% 8.0% KINUSD, CVXUSD, ICPUSD, RLCUSD, HDXUSD
GNOUSD 9 0.00738 2.49× 38.1% 27.4% LOKAUSD, QIUSD, BCHEUR, GTCUSD, BTTUSD
DVFUSD 10 0.00713 2.40× 39.9% 18.5% QTFUSD, CELRUSD, ALCXUSD, LTCAUD, XTZUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.010160.00303 +0.00713
REPUSD 0.010970.00497 +0.00600
SHPINGUSD 0.008490.00373 +0.00476
WBTCUSD 0.006050.00201 +0.00405
GNOUSD 0.007380.00365 +0.00373

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.002680.01119 -0.00851
TEERUSD 0.002800.00908 -0.00627
EULUSD 0.003210.00768 -0.00447
INVUSD 0.002350.00658 -0.00423
BNCUSD 0.001910.00573 -0.00382

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 7.02× the influence of an average node across 702 pairs.

pairs
702
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.329
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.01001 7.02× 1.6% 0.1% JPYPKR
USDSEK 2 0.00980 6.88× 2.0% 1.3% ZARNOK, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, ZARKRW, ZARINR
JPYPKR 3 0.00919 6.45× 1.6% 0.1% PKRJPY
CLPAUD 4 0.00885 6.21× 3.6% 0.1% USDSEK
ZARINR 5 0.00873 6.13× 3.1% 1.0% ZARKRW, CLPAUD, AUDCLP, TRYZAR, MDLUSD
AUDCLP 6 0.00835 5.86× 3.9% 0.4% LKRZAR, ILSZAR, MXNZAR
ZARNZD 7 0.00656 4.60× 2.7% 2.6% GBPPLN, SEKNOK, NZDIDR, NZDPLN, PLNEUR
USDMAD 8 0.00618 4.34× 8.3% 3.9% USDKHR, ARSMXN, PLNILS, DKKAED, SCRGBP
USDIQD 9 0.00580 4.07× 8.1% 1.9% DKKAED, NZDAED, USDPKR, GBPCOP, ALLGBP
NZDHUF 10 0.00570 4.00× 3.3% 0.0%

Rising influence vs 2024-06-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.009800.00105 +0.00876
CLPAUD 0.008850.00095 +0.00790
PKRJPY 0.010010.00240 +0.00761
AUDCLP 0.008350.00140 +0.00695
JPYPKR 0.009190.00264 +0.00655

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWUSD 0.000490.00833 -0.00784
XAUCNY 0.001690.00949 -0.00780
XAURUB 0.001320.00805 -0.00674
GBPLYD 0.000670.00731 -0.00664
KESUSD 0.000650.00606 -0.00541

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.