catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, June 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.74× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.180
Clustering
0.377
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01119 3.74× 62.2% 31.2% NKNUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, XYOUSD, VOXELUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01070 3.58× 46.5% 35.1% RADUSD, EWTUSD, ERNUSD, ORNUSD, XRPBTC
TEERUSD 3 0.00908 3.03× 44.1% 22.8% NYMUSD, LITUSD, ELAUSD, UNIUSD, BTTUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00807 2.70× 44.4% 11.1% LCXUSD, RUNEUSD, TIMEUSD, XDCUSD, AERGOUSD
CTXUSD 5 0.00792 2.64× 42.9% 14.4% UNIUSD, KRLUSD, BNCUSD, TOKEUSD, MNAUSD
EULUSD 6 0.00768 2.57× 44.7% 20.1% BOBAUSD, AERGOUSD, XDCUSD, GARIUSD, HBARUSD
MVUSD 7 0.00709 2.37× 41.1% 18.6% NMRUSD, AIRUSD, INVUSD, XRPBTC, SYNUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00692 2.31× 37.2% 17.1% LPTUSD, LMWRUSD, SUPERUSD, ANTUSD, OSMOUSD
INVUSD 9 0.00658 2.20× 39.0% 21.9% EULUSD, CTSIUSD, TRXUSD, XRPBTC, ASTRUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.00650 2.17× 36.3% 28.5% ETHUSD, BOBAUSD, CBETHUSD, DNTUSD, SHPINGUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.009080.00316 +0.00591
BTRSTUSD 0.010700.00641 +0.00429
FORTUSD 0.005570.00214 +0.00343
EULUSD 0.007680.00435 +0.00333
XCNUSD 0.005610.00234 +0.00327

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.003040.01423 -0.01119
PAXGUSD 0.004660.01066 -0.00600
KILTUSD 0.002890.00833 -0.00544
SHPINGUSD 0.003730.00823 -0.00450
RAIUSD 0.001170.00547 -0.00430

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 6.21× the influence of an average node across 654 pairs.

pairs
654
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.330
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.00949 6.21× 3.8% 1.8% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAGCAD, XAUINR, XAUJPY
ZMWUSD 2 0.00833 5.45× 1.1% 0.2% GBPLYD
XAURUB 3 0.00805 5.27× 4.4% 2.0% USDFJD, FJDUSD, XAUUSD, IDREUR, XAGTRY
GBPLYD 4 0.00731 4.78× 0.2% 0.2% ZMWUSD
PLNMXN 5 0.00729 4.77× 1.2% 0.6% MXNPLN, CLPARS, ZARPLN, ZARILS
MXNPLN 6 0.00668 4.37× 1.7% 0.3% PLNMXN, CLPARS
KESUSD 7 0.00606 3.97× 6.4% 3.8% USDGHS, USDZMW, GBPZMW, GBPMGA, ALLGBP
ZARIDR 8 0.00564 3.69× 4.3% 1.1% XAGCNY, XAGKRW, XAGJPY, XAGGBP, XAGUSD
USDPGK 9 0.00564 3.69× 5.8% 2.8% GBPBWP, BWPGBP, ZARBWP, USDBWP, MWKGBP
XAGCAD 10 0.00555 3.63× 4.1% 1.4% XAUMXN, XAUSAR, XAURUB, XAUCNY, XAUUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWUSD 0.008330.00052 +0.00781
XAUCNY 0.009490.00172 +0.00778
GBPLYD 0.007310.00066 +0.00665
XAURUB 0.008050.00165 +0.00640
KESUSD 0.006060.00071 +0.00536

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.001050.01327 -0.01222
CLPAUD 0.000950.00930 -0.00835
PKRJPY 0.002400.01018 -0.00778
AUDCLP 0.001400.00840 -0.00700
JPYPKR 0.002640.00931 -0.00667

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.