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Daily network digest

Friday, May 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.65× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.180
Clustering
0.380
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.01082 3.65× 54.8% 17.0% UMAUSD, LCXUSD, XDCUSD, MCUSD, RUNEUSD
MVUSD 2 0.01066 3.59× 55.4% 25.9% NMRUSD, IOTUSD, RAREUSD, LITUSD, SWFTCUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01053 3.55× 50.6% 40.8% RADUSD, EWTUSD, ORNUSD, ERNUSD, SANDUSD
DVFUSD 4 0.01015 3.42× 53.3% 20.8% LRCUSD, CTXUSD, BOBAUSD, QNTUSD, SWFTCUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00918 3.09× 53.3% 24.4% LSETHUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, NKNUSD, BOBAUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.00901 3.04× 47.3% 25.6% BNTUSD, ELAUSD, RPLUSD, SGBUSD, LITUSD
FORTUSD 7 0.00705 2.38× 34.5% 9.2% RPLUSD, AUCTIONUSD, KINUSD, QRDOUSD, BNCUSD
INVUSD 8 0.00692 2.33× 37.5% 22.9% PONDUSD, CTXUSD, BOSONUSD, FORTUSD, CTSIUSD
REPUSD 9 0.00684 2.31× 39.9% 17.9% HBARUSD, SGBUSD, HOPRUSD, TONUSD, MATHUSD
RPLUSD 10 0.00679 2.29× 37.8% 8.3% SRMUSD, TEERUSD, WILDUSD, MVUSD, SGBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010530.00502 +0.00551
XRPBTC 0.010820.00564 +0.00518
FORTUSD 0.007050.00273 +0.00432
RPLUSD 0.006790.00250 +0.00429
INVUSD 0.006920.00284 +0.00408

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002020.01086 -0.00884
KILTUSD 0.002530.00806 -0.00553
PAXGUSD 0.004670.00967 -0.00499
LTCBTC 0.006740.01155 -0.00481
MUSEUSD 0.002720.00692 -0.00419

Foreign exchange

GBPNGN was the most central name, carrying 6.32× the influence of an average node across 698 pairs.

pairs
698
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.293
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPNGN 1 0.00906 6.32× 3.2% 0.3% AUDUSD, LKRZAR
ZARINR 2 0.00852 5.94× 3.0% 1.6% USDNOK, ZARKRW, GBPNGN, NOKINR, SEKILS
TRYZAR 3 0.00653 4.56× 2.0% 1.6% ZARINR, NOKINR, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, AUDCLP
BRLAUD 4 0.00651 4.55× 1.3% 0.0%
SEKILS 5 0.00633 4.42× 4.3% 1.0% ZARKRW, USDNOK, GBPNGN, JPYILS, NOKINR
RUBNOK 6 0.00628 4.38× 2.9% 0.9% BRLSEK, ILSPLN, EURZAR, HKDARS, JODILS
GBPCOP 7 0.00612 4.27× 7.3% 5.3% COPCAD, CADCOP, ZARPHP, USDSZL, ZARPKR
TWDTHB 8 0.00575 4.01× 3.9% 0.3% BRLPEN, CHFCLP
CLPAUD 9 0.00569 3.97× 2.9% 0.4% SEKILS, EURARS, USDSEK
RUBUSD 10 0.00547 3.82× 2.3% 3.6% NOKDKK, ZARIDR, NZDSEK, NZDNOK, SEKJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-05-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.009060.00181 +0.00725
ZARINR 0.008520.00283 +0.00568
BRLAUD 0.006510.00092 +0.00559
TRYZAR 0.006530.00105 +0.00548
TWDTHB 0.005750.00036 +0.00539

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNPLN 0.002430.00830 -0.00587
MDLUSD 0.001640.00686 -0.00522
MXNZAR 0.002510.00766 -0.00514
KESUSD 0.000890.00545 -0.00456
PENCOP 0.002330.00680 -0.00447

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.