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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.87× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.167
Clustering
0.373
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.01155 3.87× 56.3% 22.8% ELAUSD, BNTUSD, LOKAUSD, UMAUSD, RNDRUSD
DIMOUSD 2 0.01086 3.64× 53.9% 10.5% QNTUSD, DEXTUSD, GMXUSD, RARIEUR, MUSEUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.00967 3.24× 50.9% 16.8% LPTUSD, PYRUSD, NEOUSD, KSMUSD, HBARUSD
REPUSD 4 0.00889 2.98× 42.5% 23.7% CRVUSD, DESOUSD, IMXUSD, LCXUSD, WAXLUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00853 2.86× 46.1% 28.7% GLMUSD, ETH2XUSD, FETUSD, GTCUSD, BLURUSD
AVTUSD 6 0.00815 2.73× 37.7% 9.9% GSTUSD, GNOUSD, ASMUSD, TRUUSD, EULUSD
KILTUSD 7 0.00806 2.70× 37.4% 39.2% HBARUSD, FARMUSD, ACAUSD, BONDUSD, QTUMUSD
TIMEUSD 8 0.00751 2.51× 37.4% 23.4% STGUSD, NKNUSD, ETHAUD, VETUSD, AURORAUSD
MVUSD 9 0.00727 2.44× 39.2% 18.3% NCTUSD, DUSKUSD, KNCUSD, DENTUSD, IOTXUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00705 2.36× 38.0% 46.7% BSXUSD, AAVEUSD, ACSUSD, EWTUSD, POWRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.010860.00430 +0.00655
KILTUSD 0.008060.00227 +0.00579
AIRUSD 0.006270.00140 +0.00487
DESOUSD 0.008530.00381 +0.00472
ASMUSD 0.006870.00257 +0.00431

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001390.00777 -0.00637
KRLUSD 0.004160.00935 -0.00519
NEXOUSD 0.003630.00727 -0.00365
BTCGBP 0.001670.00510 -0.00343
XRPBTC 0.005640.00901 -0.00337

Foreign exchange

RUBUSD was the most central name, carrying 6.43× the influence of an average node across 675 pairs.

pairs
675
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.339
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBUSD 1 0.00952 6.43× 1.8% 2.5% TRYPLN, DKKSEK, NZDSEK, ZARNZD, HKDJPY
MXNPLN 2 0.00830 5.60× 3.0% 0.1% RUBUSD
MXNZAR 3 0.00766 5.17× 2.2% 2.2% ZARSEK, ZARDKK, ZARINR, ZARUSD, ZARAED
MDLUSD 4 0.00686 4.63× 3.0% 0.1% MXNZAR
PENCOP 5 0.00680 4.59× 1.6% 1.2% ILSJPY, GBPALL, EURKWD, COPBRL, THBEUR
KESUSD 6 0.00545 3.68× 5.9% 3.0% USDGHS, USDZMW, MGAGBP, THBCNY, MDLGBP
GBPALL 7 0.00524 3.54× 0.9% 1.2% EURKWD, GHSUSD, USDMDL, OMRUSD, ZAREUR
MADUSD 8 0.00521 3.52× 4.9% 0.9% GBPUGX, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, EURTHB, MWKUSD
TRYPLN 9 0.00510 3.44× 2.2% 1.9% DKKRUB, XAGTRY, HUFPLN, PLNMXN, RUBCHF
EURBHD 10 0.00507 3.42× 5.8% 3.9% KWDEUR, BHDEUR, ARSZAR, USDLYD, GBPAFN

Rising influence vs 2024-05-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBUSD 0.009520.00259 +0.00693
MXNPLN 0.008300.00162 +0.00668
MXNZAR 0.007660.00255 +0.00511
KESUSD 0.005450.00054 +0.00491
GBPALL 0.005240.00139 +0.00386

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDSEK 0.000450.00533 -0.00488
ZARHUF 0.000610.00488 -0.00427
USDPLN 0.000790.00494 -0.00415
AUDMAD 0.001070.00508 -0.00400
HKDZAR 0.001500.00541 -0.00391

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.