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Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.76× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.180
Clustering
0.387
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01122 3.76× 53.6% 31.4% FLOWUSD, FIDAUSD, POLISUSD, WAXLUSD, XCNUSD
TSDUSD 2 0.01026 3.44× 64.7% 12.3% PAXGUSD, EGLDUSD, XRPAUD, POLISUSD, HOPRUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.00935 3.13× 50.9% 12.0% LTCBTC, MKRUSD, KEEPUSD, RADUSD, HMTUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00901 3.02× 46.1% 21.3% DNTUSD, AKTUSD, CLVUSD, ACAUSD, TLOSUSD
SHPINGUSD 5 0.00818 2.74× 40.7% 30.2% EWTUSD, BTCJPY, XLMUSD, RENUSD, TLOSUSD
AERGOUSD 6 0.00777 2.60× 44.0% 10.8% RLCUSD, INTRUSD, HDXUSD, FETUSD, REPUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00776 2.60× 39.2% 21.6% BTCUSD, BNTUSD, CROUSD, WBTCUSD, TONUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.00749 2.51× 39.2% 24.6% QTUMUSD, FXUSD, MVUSD, MATHUSD, REPUSD
NEXOUSD 9 0.00727 2.44× 39.2% 16.8% REPUSD, ADXUSD, GHSTUSD, KRLUSD, AIOZUSD
DVFUSD 10 0.00702 2.35× 38.9% 21.0% CELRUSD, QTFUSD, CFGUSD, BCHEUR, ALCXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010260.00234 +0.00792
KRLUSD 0.009350.00300 +0.00635
AERGOUSD 0.007770.00299 +0.00478
REPUSD 0.011220.00659 +0.00464
SHPINGUSD 0.008180.00369 +0.00449

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MVUSD 0.004210.01230 -0.00809
DESOUSD 0.003810.00976 -0.00595
BTRSTUSD 0.004860.01053 -0.00567
TEERUSD 0.003010.00823 -0.00522
EULUSD 0.002760.00774 -0.00498

Foreign exchange

MDLUSD was the most central name, carrying 5.81× the influence of an average node across 681 pairs.

pairs
681
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.327
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MDLUSD 1 0.00853 5.81× 3.5% 0.6% PLNHUF, PLNCHF, USDKRW, DKKPKR
NZDZAR 2 0.00629 4.28× 8.1% 5.3% GBPCOP, MADZAR, INRTHB, GHSZAR, GBPMDL
XAGBRL 3 0.00603 4.10× 3.8% 2.5% JPYGBP, JPYMYR, NOKDKK, TWDMYR, JPYIDR
HKDZAR 4 0.00541 3.68× 4.3% 2.8% NOKAED, BRLSEK, GBPBHD, AEDAUD, ILSJOD
GBPTHB 5 0.00539 3.67× 2.5% 1.6% THBGBP, NOKAED, GBPSAR, RUBNOK, ILSPLN
ZARIDR 6 0.00535 3.64× 4.0% 1.9% SGDJPY, HKDMYR, SEKNOK, PLNCZK, INRMYR
AUDSEK 7 0.00533 3.63× 4.4% 1.5% ZARHUF, BRLPEN, MURGBP, MYRAUD, USDMUR
AUDMAD 8 0.00508 3.46× 3.1% 1.5% HUFZAR, NZDHKD, NZDSGD, TRYDKK, MADAUD
USDPLN 9 0.00494 3.36× 2.1% 0.6% MXNCZK, CZKMXN, CLPGBP, CHFPKR
ZARHUF 10 0.00488 3.32× 2.6% 1.9% AUDMAD, CRCGBP, HTGGBP, GBPCRC, NZDHKD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MDLUSD 0.008530.00149 +0.00704
NZDZAR 0.006290.00167 +0.00462
EURNGN 0.004770.00047 +0.00430
AUDMAD 0.005080.00092 +0.00416
USDPLN 0.004940.00080 +0.00414

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.002940.00920 -0.00626
ZARINR 0.003030.00919 -0.00617
LKRZAR 0.001280.00666 -0.00539
SEKILS 0.001550.00659 -0.00504
TRYZAR 0.000740.00523 -0.00449

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.