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Daily network digest

Tuesday, May 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

MVUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.13× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.182
Clustering
0.383
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MVUSD 1 0.01230 4.13× 63.6% 28.1% NMRUSD, IOTUSD, INVUSD, ARBUSD, SUSHIUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01053 3.54× 51.0% 42.7% RADUSD, EWTUSD, RPLUSD, ORNUSD, ERNUSD
DVFUSD 3 0.01002 3.37× 51.3% 22.1% CTXUSD, LRCUSD, PNKUSD, BOBAUSD, LCXUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.00976 3.28× 55.2% 24.8% LSETHUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, NKNUSD, DSHUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00964 3.24× 50.7% 20.0% RUNEUSD, MCUSD, XDCUSD, LCXUSD, UMAUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.00823 2.77× 43.0% 26.9% BNTUSD, UNIUSD, ELAUSD, LITUSD, 1INCHUSD
EULUSD 7 0.00774 2.60× 44.5% 16.7% BOBAUSD, GARIUSD, XDCUSD, CHRUSD, AERGOUSD
INVUSD 8 0.00739 2.48× 41.2% 20.9% FORTUSD, FLRUSD, TRXUSD, BOSONUSD, PUNDIXUSD
FORTUSD 9 0.00735 2.47× 34.3% 12.8% KINUSD, ERNUSD, AUCTIONUSD, RPLUSD, BITUSD
CTXUSD 10 0.00721 2.42× 42.7% 13.4% SANDUSD, BNCUSD, DESOUSD, MNAUSD, GALUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010530.00521 +0.00533
RPLUSD 0.007140.00234 +0.00479
FORTUSD 0.007350.00269 +0.00466
XRPBTC 0.009640.00507 +0.00457
MVUSD 0.012300.00778 +0.00452

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002510.01115 -0.00864
KILTUSD 0.002270.00779 -0.00552
PAXGUSD 0.004570.00970 -0.00513
LTCBTC 0.006380.01105 -0.00467
AVTUSD 0.005100.00949 -0.00439

Foreign exchange

GBPNGN was the most central name, carrying 6.39× the influence of an average node across 694 pairs.

pairs
694
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.297
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
GBPNGN 1 0.00920 6.39× 3.0% 0.3% LKRZAR, AUDUSD
ZARINR 2 0.00919 6.38× 3.2% 1.6% USDNOK, GBPNGN, ZARKRW, NOKINR, MXNZAR
LKRZAR 3 0.00666 4.62× 0.7% 1.4% ZARINR, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, GBPNGN, EURARS
SEKILS 4 0.00659 4.57× 4.6% 1.0% ZARKRW, USDNOK, GBPNGN, JPYILS, NOKINR
RUBNOK 5 0.00632 4.38× 2.6% 1.7% ILSPLN, EURZAR, JODILS, BRLSEK, PLNILS
BRLAUD 6 0.00611 4.24× 1.3% 0.0%
RUBCHF 7 0.00571 3.96× 2.5% 2.7% CHFRUB, RUBUSD, CZKNOK, GBPHUF, NZDSEK
RUBUSD 8 0.00569 3.95× 2.0% 4.3% NOKDKK, HKDNZD, NZDIDR, NZDPLN, ZARTWD
CLPAUD 9 0.00567 3.94× 2.9% 0.4% SEKILS, EURARS, USDSEK
NOKRUB 10 0.00566 3.92× 4.8% 3.3% RUBUSD, NOKJPY, JPYNOK, CHFRUB, CZKNOK

Rising influence vs 2024-05-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.009200.00281 +0.00639
ZARINR 0.009190.00293 +0.00626
BRLAUD 0.006110.00098 +0.00513
LKRZAR 0.006660.00178 +0.00488
SEKILS 0.006590.00178 +0.00481

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDTRY 0.000290.00739 -0.00710
XAGRUB 0.000770.00677 -0.00600
MXNZAR 0.002270.00752 -0.00525
AUDTRY 0.000930.00544 -0.00450
MDLUSD 0.001490.00597 -0.00448

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.