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Daily network digest

Monday, May 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.72× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.167
Clustering
0.373
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01115 3.72× 56.2% 12.6% QNTUSD, DEXTUSD, RARIEUR, DYDXEUR, LMWRUSD
LTCBTC 2 0.01105 3.69× 55.6% 25.2% RNDRUSD, ELAUSD, LOKAUSD, BNTUSD, YFIUSD
PAXGUSD 3 0.00970 3.24× 54.4% 14.7% NEOUSD, PYRUSD, ETCUSD, KSMUSD, AVTUSD
AVTUSD 4 0.00949 3.17× 45.0% 9.3% GNOUSD, GSTUSD, XMRUSD, PLUUSD, INDEXUSD
REPUSD 5 0.00928 3.10× 43.2% 20.1% DESOUSD, CRVUSD, SBRUSD, LCXUSD, POWRUSD
DESOUSD 6 0.00863 2.88× 45.6% 29.1% GLMUSD, FETUSD, RADUSD, ETH2XUSD, SHPINGUSD
KILTUSD 7 0.00779 2.60× 37.2% 37.8% FARMUSD, NYMUSD, HBARUSD, ACAUSD, GSTUSD
MVUSD 8 0.00778 2.60× 40.5% 17.7% DUSKUSD, KNCUSD, NCTUSD, IOTXUSD, APEUSD
TIMEUSD 9 0.00746 2.49× 36.6% 17.4% STGUSD, ETHAUD, NKNUSD, AURORAUSD, RBCUSD
SHPINGUSD 10 0.00729 2.43× 37.2% 16.8% GLMRUSD, XRPAUD, FISUSD, ETH2XUSD, COMPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.011150.00414 +0.00700
KILTUSD 0.007790.00240 +0.00539
DESOUSD 0.008630.00356 +0.00507
AVTUSD 0.009490.00485 +0.00464
PAXGUSD 0.009700.00536 +0.00433

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001380.00798 -0.00659
NEXOUSD 0.003620.00757 -0.00396
BTCEUR 0.001760.00561 -0.00386
KRLUSD 0.004380.00815 -0.00377
XRPBTC 0.005070.00878 -0.00371

Foreign exchange

MXNZAR was the most central name, carrying 5.09× the influence of an average node across 677 pairs.

pairs
677
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.329
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MXNZAR 1 0.00752 5.09× 2.7% 2.2% ZARSEK, ZARDKK, ZARINR, NOKUSD, ZARUSD
NZDTRY 2 0.00739 5.00× 2.2% 0.3% SEKRUB, JPYGBP
XAGRUB 3 0.00677 4.58× 1.2% 0.4% NZDTRY, AUDTRY, TRYJPY
XAURUB 4 0.00659 4.46× 3.8% 1.2% XAGCAD, IDREUR, XAGTRY, JPYMYR, XAGINR
JPYGBP 5 0.00641 4.34× 0.6% 0.1% XAGRUB
PENCOP 6 0.00623 4.22× 1.5% 1.0% ILSJPY, GBPALL, EURKWD, THBEUR, CLPCOP
MDLUSD 7 0.00597 4.04× 2.7% 0.1% MXNZAR
NZDAED 8 0.00573 3.88× 7.0% 7.0% EURAED, EURBHD, USDPEN, SARJPY, GBPLRD
USDSCR 9 0.00548 3.71× 4.1% 2.7% GBPKWD, GBPBHD, SCRGBP, GBPOMR, OMRGBP
AUDTRY 10 0.00544 3.68× 2.4% 0.9% SEKRUB, JPYGBP, ZARTWD, ZARMYR, TRYJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-05-17

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDTRY 0.007390.00037 +0.00702
XAGRUB 0.006770.00098 +0.00579
MDLUSD 0.005970.00078 +0.00519
MXNZAR 0.007520.00257 +0.00495
AUDTRY 0.005440.00059 +0.00485

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARPKR 0.001810.00673 -0.00492
USDIQD 0.001020.00543 -0.00441
BRLAUD 0.000980.00535 -0.00437
HKDMYR 0.000400.00431 -0.00391
INRMYR 0.000400.00430 -0.00390

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.