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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.84× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.191
Clustering
0.404
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01137 3.84× 57.0% 33.5% MUSEUSD, FIDAUSD, WAXLUSD, POLISUSD, DIAUSD
TSDUSD 2 0.00940 3.18× 62.0% 12.5% PAXGUSD, EGLDUSD, XRPAUD, POLISUSD, HOPRUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.00799 2.70× 48.7% 15.7% LTCBTC, MKRUSD, HMTUSD, RADUSD, KEEPUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00786 2.66× 45.4% 21.7% DNTUSD, CLVUSD, AKTUSD, ACAUSD, DYPUSD
AERGOUSD 5 0.00754 2.55× 45.4% 9.5% INTRUSD, NEXOUSD, RLCUSD, HDXUSD, SHPINGUSD
SHPINGUSD 6 0.00752 2.54× 38.6% 33.2% XLMUSD, ENJUSD, BTCJPY, EWTUSD, GALAUSD
NEXOUSD 7 0.00733 2.48× 40.7% 16.3% REPUSD, GHSTUSD, KRLUSD, GNOUSD, STORJUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00714 2.41× 38.9% 18.7% WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, CROUSD, TONUSD, BTCEUR
DVFUSD 9 0.00688 2.33× 42.4% 22.6% ALCXUSD, QTFUSD, CFGUSD, CELRUSD, APTUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.00626 2.12× 37.7% 29.7% FXUSD, QTUMUSD, RAREUSD, GMXUSD, CVXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.009400.00239 +0.00701
REPUSD 0.011370.00557 +0.00579
KRLUSD 0.007990.00302 +0.00497
AERGOUSD 0.007540.00299 +0.00455
WBTCUSD 0.005650.00187 +0.00379

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FORTUSD 0.002650.00893 -0.00628
DESOUSD 0.003560.00946 -0.00590
TEERUSD 0.003470.00917 -0.00570
MVUSD 0.004160.00976 -0.00559
BTRSTUSD 0.004930.01003 -0.00510

Foreign exchange

RUBUSD was the most central name, carrying 8.05× the influence of an average node across 678 pairs.

pairs
678
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.345
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBUSD 1 0.01187 8.05× 2.4% 2.8% TRYPLN, ZARNZD, NZDPLN, NZDSEK, GBPSEK
MXNPLN 2 0.00836 5.67× 3.0% 0.1% RUBUSD
CLPARS 3 0.00643 4.36× 1.3% 0.3% KRWEUR, PENARS
XAURUB 4 0.00628 4.26× 4.7% 2.1% XAGTRY, ZARGBP, XAGKRW, ZARPLN, NZDHUF
SEKRUB 5 0.00602 4.08× 3.1% 3.5% XAGBRL, CADSEK, JPYNOK, RUBUSD, NOKJPY
DKKRUB 6 0.00579 3.93× 4.1% 1.9% SEKRUB, NZDPLN, CHFRUB, GBPHUF, RUBSEK
BHDEUR 7 0.00549 3.72× 1.3% 0.6% EURRUB, PKRUSD, CADCOP, COPCAD
PLNILS 8 0.00543 3.68× 6.6% 3.0% USDPGK, OMRGBP, USDSCR, ZARBRL, ZARMWK
TRYPLN 9 0.00524 3.55× 1.3% 1.9% DKKRUB, HUFPLN, PLNMXN, MXNPLN, XAURUB
ZARPLN 10 0.00519 3.52× 4.7% 1.8% XAGSAR, XAURUB, MXNPLN, XAGINR, SEKJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-05-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBUSD 0.011870.00188 +0.00999
MXNPLN 0.008360.00173 +0.00663
CLPARS 0.006430.00122 +0.00521
KESUSD 0.004720.00046 +0.00426
PENARS 0.004510.00041 +0.00410

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDZAR 0.001540.00752 -0.00598
CHFPKR 0.001560.00588 -0.00432
EURNGN 0.001060.00531 -0.00425
CLPCHF 0.000930.00445 -0.00352
JPYGBP 0.000820.00421 -0.00339

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.