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Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.41× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.191
Clustering
0.394
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01014 3.41× 55.2% 20.6% LRCUSD, CTXUSD, PNKUSD, BOBAUSD, PRIMEUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01003 3.37× 52.2% 42.1% RADUSD, EWTUSD, LSKUSD, RPLUSD, SUIUSD
MVUSD 3 0.00976 3.28× 58.2% 29.3% NMRUSD, SUSHIUSD, IOTUSD, KINUSD, SUIUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00954 3.21× 51.3% 18.2% XDCUSD, MCUSD, LCXUSD, RUNEUSD, ALEPHUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00946 3.18× 54.3% 27.8% LSETHUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, XYOUSD, DSHUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.00917 3.08× 47.2% 26.0% GHSTUSD, BTCJPY, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, LITUSD
FORTUSD 7 0.00893 3.00× 40.3% 14.0% KINUSD, THETAUSD, ADXUSD, ERNUSD, COMPUSD
INVUSD 8 0.00726 2.44× 42.1% 17.6% PONDUSD, TRXUSD, BOSONUSD, FLRUSD, FORTUSD
RPLUSD 9 0.00712 2.39× 42.4% 9.0% TEERUSD, SRMUSD, MVUSD, SGBUSD, DESOUSD
CTXUSD 10 0.00707 2.37× 43.9% 14.3% BNCUSD, DESOUSD, DEXTUSD, MNAUSD, SBRUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FORTUSD 0.008930.00346 +0.00547
BTRSTUSD 0.010030.00546 +0.00457
RPLUSD 0.007120.00259 +0.00453
TEERUSD 0.009170.00493 +0.00425
INVUSD 0.007260.00335 +0.00392

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002770.01104 -0.00828
KILTUSD 0.002210.00776 -0.00555
PAXGUSD 0.004350.00942 -0.00506
RAIUSD 0.001100.00525 -0.00415
SHPINGUSD 0.003890.00774 -0.00385

Foreign exchange

NZDZAR was the most central name, carrying 5.08× the influence of an average node across 676 pairs.

pairs
676
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.347
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NZDZAR 1 0.00752 5.08× 5.5% 3.3% GBPCOP, MADZAR, MDLGBP, BRLHKD, PLNILS
CHFPKR 2 0.00588 3.97× 1.3% 1.0% THBHKD, NOKGBP, GBPNOK, EURNOK, SEKZAR
ZARIDR 3 0.00554 3.75× 4.3% 1.8% PLNCZK, SGDJPY, HKDMYR, INRMYR, CADMYR
EURKWD 4 0.00544 3.68× 3.3% 5.6% KWDEUR, MXNCOP, TWDZAR, ZARPKR, SZLCHF
EURNGN 5 0.00531 3.59× 0.9% 0.3% KRWRUB, RUBKRW
NOKILS 6 0.00497 3.36× 3.9% 1.5% JPYUSD, NOKUSD, HUFCAD, USDHUF, USDNZD
ZARHUF 7 0.00492 3.33× 1.5% 1.3% CRCGBP, THBAUD, HTGGBP, GBPCRC, AUDTHB
ZARTWD 8 0.00452 3.06× 4.0% 2.4% USDISK, DKKJPY, XAGEUR, INRMYR, XAGRUB
EURMWK 9 0.00451 3.05× 0.9% 0.7% PENEUR, EURPEN, EURCOP, PKREUR, EURCLP
CLPCHF 10 0.00445 3.01× 1.2% 0.7% USDCLP, JODILS, GBPSAR, CHFARS, GBPTHB

Rising influence vs 2024-05-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDZAR 0.007520.00214 +0.00538
EURNGN 0.005310.00033 +0.00497
CHFPKR 0.005880.00094 +0.00493
EURTHB 0.003960.00046 +0.00350
CADMYR 0.003540.00028 +0.00326

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002520.01388 -0.01136
GBPNGN 0.002190.01151 -0.00931
USDIQD 0.000710.00520 -0.00449
ZARARS 0.002050.00616 -0.00411
EURLBP 0.001970.00603 -0.00406

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.