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Daily network digest

Friday, May 10, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TSDUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.37× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.189
Clustering
0.399
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TSDUSD 1 0.01003 3.37× 64.8% 12.5% PAXGUSD, EGLDUSD, XRPAUD, POLISUSD, HOPRUSD
REPUSD 2 0.00874 2.94× 44.5% 26.9% MUSEUSD, ROSEUSD, WAXLUSD, GRTUSD, ICPUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.00779 2.62× 42.4% 22.4% DNTUSD, AKTUSD, DYPUSD, CLVUSD, ACAUSD
AERGOUSD 4 0.00771 2.59× 43.6% 9.9% RLCUSD, NEXOUSD, SHPINGUSD, SBRUSD, HDXUSD
NEXOUSD 5 0.00768 2.58× 42.4% 16.1% REPUSD, GHSTUSD, PAXGUSD, GNOUSD, CTXUSD
SHPINGUSD 6 0.00738 2.48× 37.3% 27.5% ENJUSD, XLMUSD, EWTUSD, BTCJPY, LINKUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00730 2.45× 38.8% 13.4% BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCEUR, CROUSD, TONUSD
KRLUSD 8 0.00722 2.42× 47.2% 15.2% LTCBTC, MKRUSD, KEEPUSD, XRPBTC, PAXUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.00705 2.37× 40.6% 29.6% FXUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD, MVUSD, AVTUSD
ROOKUSD 10 0.00667 2.24× 42.7% 36.4% POWRUSD, HOPRUSD, MOVRUSD, FARMUSD, RENUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010030.00234 +0.00769
AERGOUSD 0.007710.00306 +0.00465
KRLUSD 0.007220.00287 +0.00434
RAIUSD 0.004810.00116 +0.00365
SHPINGUSD 0.007380.00384 +0.00354

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MVUSD 0.004060.01099 -0.00693
DESOUSD 0.003450.01007 -0.00662
FORTUSD 0.003120.00938 -0.00626
BTRSTUSD 0.005080.01076 -0.00568
TEERUSD 0.003380.00887 -0.00550

Foreign exchange

SEKRUB was the most central name, carrying 5.17× the influence of an average node across 701 pairs.

pairs
701
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.293
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKRUB 1 0.00738 5.17× 5.6% 3.4% TRYPLN, ILSCAD, TRYJPY, NOKDKK, AUDTRY
RUBSEK 2 0.00733 5.14× 0.4% 0.3% USDTRY, TRYUSD
MXNZAR 3 0.00629 4.41× 1.4% 0.7% ZARRON, USDNZD, SEKILS, RONZAR, GBPNGN
ARSPEN 4 0.00605 4.24× 1.3% 0.4% BRLKRW, THBEUR, QARZAR
TRYPLN 5 0.00596 4.18× 2.1% 2.6% ZARIDR, ZARPLN, CZKNOK, ZARNZD, DKKJPY
ILSSEK 6 0.00594 4.16× 3.4% 1.3% THBNZD, CNYNZD, NZDSGD, JPYNZD, EURNZD
CLPAUD 7 0.00593 4.15× 3.6% 0.3% CLPARS, USDSEK
COPMXN 8 0.00574 4.02× 3.6% 0.9% EURPLN, PLNUSD, HKDPLN, USDPLN, SEKZAR
AUDCLP 9 0.00561 3.93× 3.9% 0.4% ILSZAR, USDSEK, LKRZAR
PLNMXN 10 0.00559 3.92× 5.6% 0.7% TRYPLN, ILSCAD, AUDTRY, XAGRUB, XAGBRL

Rising influence vs 2024-05-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBSEK 0.007330.00046 +0.00687
MXNZAR 0.006290.00182 +0.00447
USDNZD 0.005290.00096 +0.00433
AUDCLP 0.005610.00151 +0.00411
ILSSEK 0.005940.00187 +0.00407

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSSGD 0.000510.00638 -0.00587
RUBUSD 0.002280.00702 -0.00474
NZDTHB 0.000650.00532 -0.00467
USDSCR 0.000560.00522 -0.00466
MDLUSD 0.000790.00534 -0.00455

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.