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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 9, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.78× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.190
Clustering
0.395
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.01124 3.78× 58.2% 21.5% XDCUSD, UMAUSD, MCUSD, LCXUSD, RUNEUSD
MVUSD 2 0.01099 3.69× 65.1% 27.5% NMRUSD, IOTUSD, KINUSD, INJUSD, ARBUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01076 3.61× 53.4% 41.5% RADUSD, LSKUSD, ORNUSD, RPLUSD, ERNUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.01007 3.38× 57.9% 24.2% LSETHUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, NKNUSD, XYOUSD
DVFUSD 5 0.00990 3.33× 55.2% 21.2% CTXUSD, LRCUSD, BOBAUSD, PNKUSD, KNCUSD
FORTUSD 6 0.00938 3.15× 42.1% 12.2% KINUSD, ERNUSD, GODSUSD, XRPBTC, BNCUSD
TEERUSD 7 0.00887 2.98× 48.4% 30.1% ELAUSD, SUSHIUSD, BNTUSD, NYMUSD, 1INCHUSD
INVUSD 8 0.00716 2.41× 43.0% 20.6% THETAUSD, TRXUSD, OCEANUSD, PONDUSD, FLRUSD
RPLUSD 9 0.00696 2.34× 41.5% 8.1% MVUSD, FORTUSD, DESOUSD, TEERUSD, SGBUSD
SRMUSD 10 0.00657 2.21× 34.9% 21.2% DVFUSD, ZRXUSD, HIGHUSD, MEDIAUSD, ICPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FORTUSD 0.009380.00281 +0.00657
BTRSTUSD 0.010760.00490 +0.00585
XRPBTC 0.011240.00554 +0.00570
INVUSD 0.007160.00267 +0.00449
RPLUSD 0.006960.00264 +0.00432

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002610.01146 -0.00885
PAXGUSD 0.004570.01009 -0.00552
KILTUSD 0.002130.00698 -0.00484
XRDUSD 0.003780.00809 -0.00431
RAIUSD 0.001160.00525 -0.00409

Foreign exchange

RUBUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.76× the influence of an average node across 678 pairs.

pairs
678
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBUSD 1 0.00702 4.76× 4.0% 3.1% TRYPLN, RUBDKK, ZARNZD, NZDPLN, CHFIDR
XAURUB 2 0.00641 4.34× 5.2% 1.8% TRYJPY, ZARGBP, XAGKRW, RUBUSD, ZARPLN
KWDEUR 3 0.00639 4.33× 2.7% 3.2% EURKWD, ARSZAR, ZARARS, DKKCOP, COPDKK
ARSSGD 4 0.00638 4.32× 2.1% 0.3% JPYTHB, NZDTHB
SEKRUB 5 0.00634 4.30× 3.4% 4.9% TRYJPY, NZDIDR, XAGBRL, RUBUSD, NZDMYR
ZARPKR 6 0.00629 4.27× 2.1% 3.4% ARSZAR, ZARARS, COPCAD, CADCOP, SCRUSD
AUDTRY 7 0.00595 4.03× 3.0% 3.2% NOKJPY, JPYNOK, RUBUSD, GBPHUF, CHFRUB
RUBPLN 8 0.00541 3.66× 5.0% 1.3% RWFZAR, ZARRWF, RUBEUR, AUDFJD, SGDTHB
MDLUSD 9 0.00534 3.62× 1.6% 0.0%
NZDTHB 10 0.00532 3.61× 1.0% 0.9% ARSAUD, HTGGBP, CADTHB, EURTWD, GBPMUR

Rising influence vs 2024-05-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBUSD 0.007020.00171 +0.00531
ARSSGD 0.006380.00122 +0.00516
PLNILS 0.005280.00100 +0.00428
SEKRUB 0.006340.00236 +0.00397
EURIDR 0.004210.00047 +0.00374

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDZAR 0.001490.00899 -0.00750
NOKILS 0.001860.00862 -0.00675
EURKWD 0.002000.00683 -0.00483
CHFPKR 0.001280.00574 -0.00446
AUDMAD 0.001110.00522 -0.00411

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.