catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DIMOUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.84× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.169
Clustering
0.376
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DIMOUSD 1 0.01146 3.84× 57.8% 12.3% QNTUSD, DEXTUSD, RARIEUR, LINKUSD, INDEXUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01009 3.38× 56.3% 15.6% NEOUSD, KSMUSD, PYRUSD, SKLUSD, HBARUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00975 3.27× 49.4% 19.2% RNDRUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, LOKAUSD, REPUSD
AVTUSD 4 0.00943 3.16× 43.7% 9.9% GNOUSD, GSTUSD, XMRUSD, LSETHUSD, INDEXUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00877 2.94× 46.7% 25.7% GLMUSD, ETH2XUSD, CTSIUSD, DVFUSD, BOBAUSD
XRDUSD 6 0.00809 2.71× 42.5% 18.9% DEXTUSD, DESOUSD, EWTUSD, RARIEUR, BITUSD
SHPINGUSD 7 0.00793 2.66× 40.7% 13.5% GLMRUSD, XRPAUD, TRUUSD, TRXUSD, KEYUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00766 2.57× 36.5% 17.4% DARUSD, GARIUSD, ADXUSD, ROOKUSD, ATOMUSD
MVUSD 9 0.00707 2.37× 38.0% 16.5% DUSKUSD, ARPAUSD, KNCUSD, LCXUSD, IOTXUSD
KILTUSD 10 0.00698 2.34× 31.4% 39.2% HBARUSD, CHZUSD, FARMUSD, FLRUSD, QTUMUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.011460.00334 +0.00812
EULUSD 0.007660.00229 +0.00536
DESOUSD 0.008770.00354 +0.00523
KILTUSD 0.006980.00221 +0.00477
PAXGUSD 0.010090.00559 +0.00450

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001370.00821 -0.00684
BTCGBP 0.001840.00517 -0.00333
NEXOUSD 0.003970.00724 -0.00327
ALEPHUSD 0.002650.00575 -0.00311
CQTUSD 0.001550.00448 -0.00292

Foreign exchange

NZDZAR was the most central name, carrying 6.18× the influence of an average node across 687 pairs.

pairs
687
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.337
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NZDZAR 1 0.00899 6.18× 6.3% 4.1% GBPCOP, GHSZAR, ZARGHS, MDLGBP, THBCNY
NOKILS 2 0.00862 5.92× 2.6% 1.3% NOKUSD, HUFCAD, PLNDKK, ZARRON, RONZAR
EURKWD 3 0.00683 4.69× 2.6% 3.4% KWDEUR, ZARPKR, SZLCHF, EURBHD, GBPALL
ZARIDR 4 0.00638 4.38× 4.7% 1.7% PLNCZK, INRMYR, THBMYR, SGDJPY, HKDMYR
CHFPKR 5 0.00574 3.94× 3.2% 2.2% THBHKD, JPYCZK, CZKJPY, EURNOK, NOKGBP
AUDMAD 6 0.00522 3.59× 2.9% 1.5% CHFTRY, TRYDKK, HUFZAR, DKKTRY, EURTRY
GBPTHB 7 0.00520 3.58× 1.6% 2.2% THBGBP, JPYARS, AUDARS, ARSCAD, CHFARS
ILSNOK 8 0.00520 3.57× 3.8% 0.4% AUDMAD, ZARHUF, AUDTHB
ZARTWD 9 0.00517 3.55× 4.7% 2.5% USDISK, HKDMYR, DKKJPY, CADMYR, THBMYR
OMRUSD 10 0.00477 3.28× 2.2% 1.6% EUROMR, ARSCOP, COPARS, MYRTHB, CHFKRW

Rising influence vs 2024-05-07

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKILS 0.008620.00054 +0.00808
NZDZAR 0.008990.00149 +0.00750
OMRUSD 0.004770.00054 +0.00423
CHFPKR 0.005740.00179 +0.00394
ILSNOK 0.005200.00140 +0.00381

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.000550.00832 -0.00778
JPYPKR 0.000370.00783 -0.00746
PKRJPY 0.002330.00863 -0.00630
ILSSEK 0.000490.00622 -0.00572
RUBSEK 0.000260.00593 -0.00567

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.