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Daily network digest

Tuesday, May 7, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TSDUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.53× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.187
Clustering
0.399
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TSDUSD 1 0.01050 3.53× 64.8% 12.2% PAXGUSD, EGLDUSD, XRPAUD, POLISUSD, HOPRUSD
REPUSD 2 0.00886 2.98× 45.7% 30.7% WAXLUSD, MUSEUSD, FIDAUSD, RAREUSD, XCNUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00845 2.84× 45.1% 18.8% WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, BNTUSD, PRIMEUSD, CROUSD
AERGOUSD 4 0.00821 2.76× 45.4% 9.0% RLCUSD, CVXUSD, TOKEUSD, INTRUSD, NEXOUSD
XRPBTC 5 0.00754 2.54× 41.5% 24.8% DNTUSD, ACAUSD, CLVUSD, AKTUSD, SPAUSD
SHPINGUSD 6 0.00732 2.46× 37.0% 29.0% LINKUSD, EWTUSD, XLMUSD, BTCJPY, ENJUSD
NEXOUSD 7 0.00724 2.43× 40.9% 15.8% REPUSD, GHSTUSD, BNTUSD, GNOUSD, PAXGUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.00719 2.41× 40.9% 32.5% FXUSD, QTUMUSD, SUKUUSD, AVTUSD, MVUSD
KRLUSD 9 0.00707 2.38× 44.5% 13.7% MKRUSD, LTCBTC, KEEPUSD, XRPBTC, AVTUSD
ROOKUSD 10 0.00675 2.27× 41.8% 32.5% HOPRUSD, FARMUSD, POWRUSD, MOVRUSD, DUSKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010500.00245 +0.00805
AERGOUSD 0.008210.00311 +0.00510
KRLUSD 0.007070.00269 +0.00438
RAIUSD 0.004810.00113 +0.00368
WBTCUSD 0.005730.00231 +0.00342

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FORTUSD 0.002680.00991 -0.00723
DESOUSD 0.003540.01027 -0.00673
BTRSTUSD 0.004960.01071 -0.00575
MVUSD 0.003890.00956 -0.00567
TEERUSD 0.003420.00904 -0.00561

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 6.01× the influence of an average node across 696 pairs.

pairs
696
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.300
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.00863 6.01× 1.4% 0.1% JPYPKR
USDSEK 2 0.00832 5.79× 1.9% 1.6% JPYMXN, MXNJPY, AUDKRW, NZDKRW, ZARKRW
JPYPKR 3 0.00783 5.45× 0.3% 0.1% PKRJPY
SEKRUB 4 0.00763 5.31× 5.8% 4.6% TRYPLN, NZDTRY, HKDNZD, ILSCAD, NZDGBP
PLNMXN 5 0.00660 4.60× 5.6% 0.7% TRYPLN, ILSCAD, AUDTRY, XAGBRL, XAGRUB
CLPAUD 6 0.00634 4.41× 3.6% 0.1% USDSEK
TRYPLN 7 0.00634 4.41× 1.9% 2.6% ZARIDR, ZARPLN, ZARNZD, DKKJPY, CZKNOK
ILSSEK 8 0.00622 4.33× 3.6% 1.3% THBNZD, EURNZD, CNYNZD, JPYNZD, NZDSGD
RUBSEK 9 0.00593 4.13× 0.6% 0.4% USDTRY, TRYUSD, ZARILS
ZARINR 10 0.00587 4.09× 3.3% 1.0% USDNOK, ZARKRW, NOKINR, ZARNGN, CLPAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.008320.00104 +0.00728
PKRJPY 0.008630.00211 +0.00652
TRYPLN 0.006340.00074 +0.00561
JPYPKR 0.007830.00249 +0.00534
ILSSEK 0.006220.00123 +0.00499

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURPKR 0.000850.00853 -0.00768
JODILS 0.000720.00691 -0.00620
KESUSD 0.000560.00563 -0.00507
XAUJPY 0.000400.00536 -0.00496
COPARS 0.001230.00571 -0.00448

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.