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Daily network digest

Friday, May 3, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.49× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.185
Clustering
0.387
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01035 3.49× 52.1% 19.6% CTXUSD, LRCUSD, PNKUSD, MXCUSD, BOBAUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01019 3.44× 52.4% 46.7% RADUSD, LSKUSD, RLCUSD, ARBUSD, UMAUSD
MVUSD 3 0.00991 3.34× 58.0% 29.2% NMRUSD, KINUSD, ETH2XUSD, IOTUSD, HBARUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00957 3.23× 51.2% 20.8% XDCUSD, LCXUSD, KARUSD, MCUSD, WAMPLUSD
FORTUSD 5 0.00937 3.16× 38.1% 9.8% GODSUSD, XRPBTC, KINUSD, ERNUSD, BNCUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.00865 2.92× 44.3% 33.6% BNTUSD, 1INCHUSD, SUSHIUSD, NANOUSD, ELAUSD
DESOUSD 7 0.00860 2.90× 50.3% 20.5% LSETHUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, DASHUSD, FORTUSD
RPLUSD 8 0.00756 2.55× 42.9% 9.5% SGBUSD, WILDUSD, BTRSTUSD, PNKUSD, FORTUSD
INVUSD 9 0.00701 2.36× 40.5% 17.9% TRXUSD, PUNDIXUSD, MTLUSD, XRPBTC, BOSONUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00658 2.22× 38.1% 14.9% LPTUSD, WCFGUSD, ETHAUD, ETHUSD, BALUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FORTUSD 0.009370.00311 +0.00626
BTRSTUSD 0.010190.00536 +0.00484
INVUSD 0.007010.00245 +0.00456
RPLUSD 0.007560.00301 +0.00454
SGBUSD 0.005700.00170 +0.00400

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002300.00944 -0.00713
PAXGUSD 0.004610.01067 -0.00606
KILTUSD 0.002220.00755 -0.00533
AVTUSD 0.005660.01052 -0.00486
RAIUSD 0.001190.00584 -0.00466

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 5.89× the influence of an average node across 701 pairs.

pairs
701
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.307
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.00840 5.89× 1.4% 0.3% NZDPKR, JPYPKR
SEKRUB 2 0.00731 5.13× 5.9% 4.7% TRYPLN, NZDTRY, HKDNZD, ILSCAD, NZDEUR
ZARINR 3 0.00714 5.00× 3.3% 1.3% USDNOK, ZARKRW, NOKINR, ZARNGN, CLPAUD
ILSSEK 4 0.00640 4.49× 4.0% 1.3% THBNZD, EURNZD, CNYNZD, NZDSGD, JPYNZD
PLNMXN 5 0.00625 4.38× 5.4% 0.7% TRYPLN, ILSCAD, AUDTRY, XAGRUB, XAGBRL
ARSPEN 6 0.00621 4.36× 1.6% 0.6% BRLKRW, THBEUR, QARZAR, CLPPEN
TRYPLN 7 0.00605 4.24× 2.0% 2.7% ZARIDR, ZARPLN, JPYDKK, DKKJPY, CZKNOK
CLPARS 8 0.00604 4.23× 1.9% 1.9% USDKRW, PLNCHF, PLNHUF, SGDPLN, PLNJPY
AUDCLP 9 0.00585 4.10× 3.9% 0.4% CLPARS, ZARINR, LKRZAR
CLPAUD 10 0.00577 4.05× 3.3% 0.3% CLPARS, USDSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-05-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.008400.00076 +0.00765
RUBSEK 0.005750.00047 +0.00528
CLPARS 0.006040.00078 +0.00526
USDNZD 0.005240.00084 +0.00440
AUDCLP 0.005850.00150 +0.00435

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSSGD 0.000510.00653 -0.00602
RUBUSD 0.002370.00724 -0.00486
MDLUSD 0.000780.00527 -0.00449
EURTHB 0.000600.00489 -0.00429
NZDTHB 0.000930.00520 -0.00427

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.