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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 2, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.55× the influence of an average node across 333 assets.

assets
333
Density
0.162
Clustering
0.367
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.01067 3.55× 53.3% 16.3% KSMUSD, NEOUSD, NKNUSD, YFIUSD, AVTUSD
AVTUSD 2 0.01052 3.50× 45.2% 8.7% GSTUSD, GNOUSD, BCHGBP, ASMUSD, ENJUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00993 3.31× 47.3% 22.9% ELAUSD, RNDRUSD, BNTUSD, LOKAUSD, REPUSD
DIMOUSD 4 0.00944 3.14× 48.8% 15.1% DEXTUSD, QNTUSD, DYDXEUR, BICOUSD, API3USD
MVUSD 5 0.00923 3.07× 44.6% 20.8% DUSKUSD, KNCUSD, LCXUSD, API3USD, ARPAUSD
DESOUSD 6 0.00859 2.86× 43.4% 21.1% GLMUSD, ETH2XUSD, DVFUSD, FETUSD, VOXELUSD
EULUSD 7 0.00847 2.82× 37.7% 15.4% ROOKUSD, DARUSD, ADXUSD, NYMUSD, GARIUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.00781 2.60× 39.5% 16.0% DEXTUSD, APTUSD, DESOUSD, ENJUSD, RARIEUR
DEXTUSD 9 0.00773 2.58× 30.1% 28.0% ENJUSD, ICXUSD, GMTUSD, SANDUSD, MASKUSD
KILTUSD 10 0.00755 2.51× 34.0% 39.5% GSTUSD, NYMUSD, QTUMUSD, HBARUSD, RLCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EULUSD 0.008470.00240 +0.00607
DIMOUSD 0.009440.00346 +0.00598
KILTUSD 0.007550.00199 +0.00556
AVTUSD 0.010520.00497 +0.00555
MVUSD 0.009230.00405 +0.00518

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001550.00816 -0.00661
BTCGBP 0.001900.00541 -0.00351
BTCEUR 0.002060.00547 -0.00341
NEXOUSD 0.003890.00728 -0.00339
RBCUSD 0.002830.00609 -0.00326

Foreign exchange

RUBUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.78× the influence of an average node across 661 pairs.

pairs
661
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.345
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBUSD 1 0.00724 4.78× 3.5% 2.6% TRYPLN, NZDTWD, ZARNZD, NZDSEK, AUDTRY
ZARPKR 2 0.00655 4.33× 1.8% 3.2% ARSZAR, COPCAD, CADCOP, ZARARS, DKKCOP
ARSSGD 3 0.00653 4.32× 2.1% 0.3% NZDTHB, JPYTHB
AUDTRY 4 0.00640 4.23× 3.0% 3.3% RUBUSD, NOKJPY, JPYNOK, CHFRUB, NZDHUF
MXNPLN 5 0.00581 3.84× 3.5% 0.8% RUBUSD, TRYJPY, AUDTRY, NZDTRY, DKKRUB
TRYPLN 6 0.00577 3.81× 1.4% 2.0% DKKRUB, XAGRUB, XAURUB, XAUZAR, XAGTRY
KWDEUR 7 0.00570 3.77× 2.7% 3.0% EURKWD, ZARARS, ARSZAR, BDTJPY, COPDKK
NZDAED 8 0.00565 3.74× 6.2% 5.3% USDPEN, LKRGBP, GBPLKR, ZARKES, RWFGBP
SEKRUB 9 0.00559 3.69× 2.7% 5.3% RUBUSD, TRYJPY, NZDIDR, NZDTRY, NZDMYR
DKKRUB 10 0.00546 3.61× 4.8% 2.0% SEKRUB, CHFRUB, GBPHUF, XAGRUB, NZDTWD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBUSD 0.007240.00166 +0.00558
ARSSGD 0.006530.00121 +0.00532
MXNPLN 0.005810.00150 +0.00431
SCRUSD 0.005020.00095 +0.00407
TRYPLN 0.005770.00173 +0.00403

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDZAR 0.001510.00876 -0.00725
NOKILS 0.001630.00743 -0.00580
EURKWD 0.002460.00725 -0.00478
GBPTHB 0.002090.00618 -0.00409
CHFPKR 0.001410.00523 -0.00383

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.