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Daily network digest

Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TSDUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.67× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.180
Clustering
0.391
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TSDUSD 1 0.01099 3.67× 63.4% 12.9% PAXGUSD, EGLDUSD, POLISUSD, XRPAUD, HOPRUSD
REPUSD 2 0.00970 3.24× 46.5% 33.6% MUSEUSD, ROSEUSD, POLISUSD, GRTUSD, FIDAUSD
AERGOUSD 3 0.00816 2.72× 43.8% 5.4% RLCUSD, SHPINGUSD, TOKEUSD, KINUSD, PAXGUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.00813 2.72× 43.8% 23.4% PRIMEUSD, CROUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, ASTRUSD
SHPINGUSD 5 0.00795 2.66× 38.4% 28.5% ENJUSD, XLMUSD, TLOSUSD, EWTUSD, LINKUSD
KRLUSD 6 0.00767 2.56× 45.3% 12.6% MKRUSD, AVTUSD, BNTUSD, XRPBTC, ACAUSD
NEXOUSD 7 0.00728 2.43× 39.9% 15.6% REPUSD, GHSTUSD, GNOUSD, AERGOUSD, AIOZUSD
PNKUSD 8 0.00724 2.42× 38.7% 30.9% FXUSD, LINKUSD, PERPUSD, QTUMUSD, EOSUSD
XRPBTC 9 0.00716 2.39× 38.1% 21.9% DNTUSD, CLVUSD, YGGEUR, LTCEUR, ACAUSD
DVFUSD 10 0.00681 2.28× 39.9% 23.7% QTFUSD, ALCXUSD, APTUSD, CELRUSD, BANDUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010990.00254 +0.00845
AERGOUSD 0.008160.00301 +0.00515
KRLUSD 0.007670.00292 +0.00474
SHPINGUSD 0.007950.00353 +0.00442
REPUSD 0.009700.00562 +0.00408

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.005130.01126 -0.00613
MVUSD 0.004050.01015 -0.00610
TEERUSD 0.003610.00969 -0.00608
FORTUSD 0.002830.00890 -0.00607
DESOUSD 0.003760.00872 -0.00495

Foreign exchange

NZDZAR was the most central name, carrying 5.92× the influence of an average node across 676 pairs.

pairs
676
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.334
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NZDZAR 1 0.00876 5.92× 6.4% 3.6% GBPCOP, GHSZAR, GBPAFN, ZARGHS, THBCNY
NOKILS 2 0.00743 5.02× 2.5% 1.5% SEKILS, USDNZD, NOKUSD, NZDCAD, HUFCAD
EURKWD 3 0.00725 4.90× 2.7% 3.0% KWDEUR, ZARPKR, SZLCHF, EURBHD, GBPALL
GBPTHB 4 0.00618 4.18× 1.5% 2.1% THBGBP, JPYARS, ARSJPY, ARSUSD, CADARS
ZARIDR 5 0.00596 4.03× 4.4% 1.9% PLNCZK, SGDJPY, INRMYR, HKDMYR, SEKNOK
EURMWK 6 0.00533 3.60× 0.9% 0.6% EURCOP, PENEUR, EURPEN, PKREUR
CHFPKR 7 0.00523 3.54× 2.8% 2.2% THBHKD, JPYCZK, CZKJPY, NOKGBP, CADNOK
ZARTWD 8 0.00520 3.51× 4.6% 2.4% USDISK, DKKJPY, THBMYR, XAGRUB, HKDMYR
GBPHTG 9 0.00511 3.46× 1.6% 0.1% GBPTHB
RUBEUR 10 0.00475 3.21× 5.9% 3.4% GBPMWK, MWKGBP, SCRGBP, USDPKR, EURRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-04-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDZAR 0.008760.00175 +0.00701
NOKILS 0.007430.00268 +0.00475
EURMWK 0.005330.00123 +0.00410
OMRUSD 0.004480.00050 +0.00398
ZARGBP 0.004300.00071 +0.00359

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.001450.00909 -0.00765
SEKRUB 0.002080.00769 -0.00561
ARSPEN 0.001980.00737 -0.00539
PLNMXN 0.001420.00599 -0.00457
TRYPLN 0.001730.00609 -0.00435

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.