catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 4.54× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.165
Clustering
0.373
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.01360 4.54× 57.7% 23.4% RNDRUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, AIRUSD, REPUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01094 3.65× 57.4% 15.0% PYRUSD, HBARUSD, KSMUSD, NEOUSD, COMPUSD
SHPINGUSD 3 0.00911 3.04× 42.6% 16.5% XRPAUD, ETH2XUSD, TRUUSD, COMPUSD, LTCBTC
MVUSD 4 0.00887 2.96× 41.4% 18.6% LCXUSD, DENTUSD, DUSKUSD, BICOUSD, DYPUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00869 2.90× 45.6% 21.9% ETH2XUSD, GLMUSD, RAREUSD, VOXELUSD, DVFUSD
XRDUSD 6 0.00851 2.84× 42.9% 11.1% ENJUSD, APTUSD, BITUSD, DEXTUSD, EWTUSD
TIMEUSD 7 0.00830 2.77× 36.9% 13.8% AIRUSD, XCNUSD, NKNUSD, CVXUSD, AURORAUSD
AVTUSD 8 0.00816 2.73× 40.2% 18.0% GSTUSD, ENJUSD, PLUUSD, EULUSD, RADUSD
DEXTUSD 9 0.00801 2.68× 32.7% 30.3% GMTUSD, ENJUSD, MASKUSD, RADUSD, UOSUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.00770 2.57× 39.9% 21.3% PLUUSD, DEXTUSD, MATHUSD, MATICUSD, BTRSTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.010940.00535 +0.00559
LTCBTC 0.013600.00805 +0.00555
DESOUSD 0.008690.00324 +0.00545
TIMEUSD 0.008300.00368 +0.00463
KILTUSD 0.007110.00250 +0.00461

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001430.00806 -0.00662
ROOKUSD 0.005280.01057 -0.00529
REPUSD 0.007230.01224 -0.00501
BTCGBP 0.001480.00589 -0.00441
CQTUSD 0.001540.00568 -0.00415

Foreign exchange

AUDPKR was the most central name, carrying 6.63× the influence of an average node across 679 pairs.

pairs
679
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.338
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AUDPKR 1 0.00976 6.63× 0.3% 0.3% ZARTND, TNDZAR
JODILS 2 0.00835 5.67× 3.2% 1.5% BRLARS, ARSGBP, BRLJPY, ILSJOD, CLPCHF
MDLUSD 3 0.00738 5.01× 3.7% 0.1% DKKPKR
EURCOP 4 0.00729 4.95× 2.1% 1.3% RUBKRW, RUBJPY, EURMWK, KRWRUB, PENEUR
ILSNOK 5 0.00688 4.67× 4.4% 1.6% BRLPEN, KRWJPY, ZARHUF, ILSSEK, AUDMAD
ZARTND 6 0.00681 4.62× 1.9% 0.1% AUDPKR
NZDZAR 7 0.00677 4.60× 6.6% 5.2% GBPUGX, GBPAFN, ZARARS, ZARGHS, USDGHS
DKKPKR 8 0.00674 4.58× 0.7% 4.7% NOKUSD, ZARTRY, AEDZAR, ZMWZAR, LKRZAR
ILSJOD 9 0.00643 4.36× 2.7% 0.7% JODILS, EURILS, ARSJPY, ZARTHB, CNYCAD
TNDZAR 10 0.00634 4.30× 2.2% 0.3% AUDPKR, GBPPKR

Rising influence vs 2024-04-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDPKR 0.009760.00072 +0.00903
JODILS 0.008350.00182 +0.00653
DKKPKR 0.006740.00031 +0.00643
ILSNOK 0.006880.00129 +0.00559
NZDZAR 0.006770.00119 +0.00558

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PLNMXN 0.001600.00672 -0.00512
SEKRUB 0.000610.00490 -0.00429
NZDTHB 0.000470.00472 -0.00425
CHFRUB 0.000690.00487 -0.00418
BRLAUD 0.001260.00540 -0.00414

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.