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Daily network digest

Tuesday, April 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.07× the influence of an average node across 333 assets.

assets
333
Density
0.177
Clustering
0.394
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01224 4.07× 55.4% 32.2% MUSEUSD, UMAUSD, GRTUSD, ROSEUSD, ICPUSD
ROOKUSD 2 0.01057 3.52× 57.8% 33.7% MOVRUSD, MKRUSD, HOPRUSD, POWRUSD, NKNUSD
TSDUSD 3 0.01046 3.48× 63.6% 10.2% PAXGUSD, HOPRUSD, ETHUSD, XYOUSD, ETHAUD
KRLUSD 4 0.00871 2.90× 46.7% 16.3% MKRUSD, POWRUSD, ACAUSD, KEEPUSD, LINKUSD
AERGOUSD 5 0.00806 2.68× 42.8% 9.3% RLCUSD, REPUSD, TOKEUSD, FETUSD, DEXTUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00805 2.68× 46.7% 20.8% BTCUSD, WBTCUSD, PRIMEUSD, BNTUSD, JUNOUSD
PNKUSD 7 0.00790 2.63× 39.5% 28.9% FXUSD, PERPUSD, LINKUSD, BTCJPY, CROUSD
DVFUSD 8 0.00748 2.49× 43.4% 19.6% QTFUSD, ALCXUSD, APTUSD, LTCBTC, FLRUSD
BTCUSD 9 0.00721 2.40× 41.6% 28.9% REPV2USD, DVFUSD, BTTUSD, KINTUSD, NEXOUSD
LINKUSD 10 0.00682 2.27× 31.0% 14.2% KILTUSD, AKTEUR, ALEPHUSD, FARMUSD, AERGOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ROOKUSD 0.010570.00402 +0.00655
REPUSD 0.012240.00613 +0.00610
KRLUSD 0.008710.00302 +0.00569
AERGOUSD 0.008060.00329 +0.00476
WBTCUSD 0.006810.00267 +0.00414

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.006300.01497 -0.00866
TEERUSD 0.005390.01196 -0.00658
DESOUSD 0.003240.00957 -0.00633
RPLUSD 0.003130.00935 -0.00622
INVUSD 0.002290.00658 -0.00429

Foreign exchange

EURCDF was the most central name, carrying 5.13× the influence of an average node across 676 pairs.

pairs
676
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.347
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
EURCDF 1 0.00758 5.13× 0.4% 0.4% EURHTG, EURBIF, EURCOP
PLNMXN 2 0.00672 4.54× 6.1% 1.0% TRYPLN, ILSCAD, RUBUSD, RUBDKK, AUDTRY
USDKRW 3 0.00605 4.09× 1.0% 0.3% USDZAR, EGPZAR
NZDNOK 4 0.00602 4.07× 3.0% 1.6% NZDTWD, ZARTWD, ZARMYR, NOKSEK, PLNMXN
ZARPLN 5 0.00575 3.89× 5.6% 2.5% XAGEUR, XAGJPY, XAGCNY, PLNMXN, XAGSAR
RUBEUR 6 0.00565 3.82× 5.2% 2.2% MWKUSD, USDPKR, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, EURRUB
BRLAUD 7 0.00540 3.65× 1.3% 0.0%
TRYPLN 8 0.00505 3.41× 1.9% 2.5% DKKJPY, JPYDKK, CZKNOK, ZARNZD, ZARPLN
CHFSZL 9 0.00503 3.40× 4.9% 3.7% LKRGBP, GHSZAR, ZARGHS, ZARCOP, EURRUB
SEKRUB 10 0.00490 3.32× 0.6% 0.6% CHFRUB, IDRNZD, ZARILS, ILSAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURCDF 0.007580.00054 +0.00705
PLNMXN 0.006720.00227 +0.00445
TRYPLN 0.005050.00072 +0.00432
JPYGBP 0.004460.00029 +0.00417
SEKRUB 0.004900.00081 +0.00410

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYAUD 0.000280.00779 -0.00751
USDIQD 0.000590.00571 -0.00512
ZARPKR 0.002100.00614 -0.00404
USDMAD 0.001640.00510 -0.00345
ZARSEK 0.000580.00401 -0.00342

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.