catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, March 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.09× the influence of an average node across 331 assets.

assets
331
Density
0.194
Clustering
0.409
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.00934 3.09× 49.1% 24.5% STGUSD, DOTUSD, IOTXUSD, LINKUSD, SGBUSD
XRDUSD 2 0.00891 2.95× 48.5% 31.8% ENJUSD, RARIEUR, APTUSD, OPUSD, KILTUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00793 2.63× 46.7% 24.2% ELAUSD, BNTUSD, AIRUSD, ANKRUSD, REPUSD
ABTUSD 4 0.00747 2.47× 45.2% 26.4% PLUUSD, DEXTUSD, GSTUSD, ICXUSD, NKNUSD
DVFUSD 5 0.00740 2.45× 43.9% 24.5% CBETHUSD, NYMUSD, ETHBTC, ETHUSD, ETCUSD
NANOUSD 6 0.00684 2.26× 40.9% 13.6% XRPAUD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, ANTUSD, GSTUSD
CTXUSD 7 0.00678 2.24× 40.9% 16.1% API3USD, BLZUSD, XCADUSD, CVXUSD, NKNUSD
AVTUSD 8 0.00666 2.20× 40.6% 17.6% GSTUSD, RADUSD, ENJUSD, CVXUSD, LRCUSD
XRPAUD 9 0.00656 2.17× 40.6% 13.6% LPTUSD, RBNUSD, PYRUSD, SUKUUSD, WAXLUSD
HOPRUSD 10 0.00656 2.17× 39.7% 15.2% LSETHUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, ETH2XUSD, ETHBTC

Rising influence vs 2024-03-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.009340.00407 +0.00527
ABTUSD 0.007470.00241 +0.00506
NANOUSD 0.006840.00229 +0.00455
XRDUSD 0.008910.00472 +0.00419
XRPAUD 0.006560.00243 +0.00413

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001660.00824 -0.00658
ROOKUSD 0.005630.01183 -0.00621
POWRUSD 0.001900.00694 -0.00504
ASTUSD 0.004060.00906 -0.00500
CVCUSD 0.003380.00744 -0.00405

Foreign exchange

NZDTHB was the most central name, carrying 5.71× the influence of an average node across 666 pairs.

pairs
666
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.384
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
NZDTHB 1 0.00858 5.71× 3.0% 3.3% DKKAED, GBPBHD, SCRGBP, SGDTHB, AUDINR
AUDTRY 2 0.00814 5.42× 3.5% 2.9% JPYNOK, GBPHUF, XAGZAR, ILSCAD, NZDHUF
CNYAUD 3 0.00757 5.04× 2.6% 0.8% HKDPLN, USDPLN, PLNUSD, SEKZAR, EURILS
AUDPKR 4 0.00755 5.03× 0.5% 0.6% JPYPKR, TNDZAR, ZARTND, PKRJPY
ARSPEN 5 0.00710 4.73× 1.2% 0.6% THBEUR, COPBRL, PENCLP, CLPPEN
TNDZAR 6 0.00672 4.47× 2.0% 0.2% AUDPKR
JPYCLP 7 0.00637 4.24× 6.9% 0.5% ILSCAD, JPYSEK, XAGRUB
THBEUR 8 0.00633 4.21× 1.7% 0.2% ARSPEN
ILSPLN 9 0.00604 4.02× 5.7% 1.5% GBPKWD, USDBHD, AEDDKK, BRLCOP, USDBIF
ILSCAD 10 0.00581 3.87× 2.0% 0.6% XAGKRW, XAGMXN, XAGBRL, XAGZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYAUD 0.007570.00204 +0.00553
NZDTHB 0.008580.00307 +0.00551
CADRUB 0.005710.00066 +0.00505
NZDTRY 0.005790.00096 +0.00483
ARSPEN 0.007100.00281 +0.00429

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BRLEUR 0.000650.00439 -0.00374
HKDMYR 0.000270.00390 -0.00363
CADMYR 0.000270.00389 -0.00363
BRLUSD 0.001510.00513 -0.00362
INRMYR 0.000270.00387 -0.00360

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.