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Daily network digest

Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ROOKUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.92× the influence of an average node across 331 assets.

assets
331
Density
0.200
Clustering
0.414
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ROOKUSD 1 0.01183 3.92× 65.2% 34.5% MKRUSD, MOVRUSD, ETH2XUSD, DUSKUSD, POWRUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.00906 3.00× 47.9% 11.2% BTCAUD, WBTCUSD, CTXUSD, BTCEUR, BTCGBP
REPUSD 3 0.00880 2.91× 46.7% 25.5% IDEXUSD, KP3RUSD, GRTUSD, MUSEUSD, UMAUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.00876 2.90× 51.8% 21.8% XRPBTC, KEEPUSD, MKRUSD, RADUSD, DVFUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.00862 2.85× 45.8% 23.0% OXTUSD, INTRUSD, MAGICUSD, MINAUSD, PROUSD
AERGOUSD 6 0.00824 2.73× 44.8% 16.4% RLCUSD, ALGOUSD, SHPINGUSD, FXSUSD, MOVRUSD
DVFUSD 7 0.00780 2.58× 49.4% 19.1% ALCXUSD, QTFUSD, TIMEUSD, XTZUSD, DNTUSD
CVCUSD 8 0.00744 2.46× 42.7% 12.1% PNKUSD, XMRUSD, CHREUR, MDTUSD, KRLUSD
BTRSTUSD 9 0.00735 2.43× 40.0% 36.1% DASHUSD, DSHUSD, ICXUSD, RADUSD, CVCUSD
NEXOUSD 10 0.00705 2.33× 37.9% 21.8% REPUSD, GNOUSD, ENJUSD, CTXUSD, PERPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ROOKUSD 0.011830.00434 +0.00749
KRLUSD 0.008760.00293 +0.00582
ASTUSD 0.009060.00351 +0.00555
AERGOUSD 0.008240.00346 +0.00478
XDCUSD 0.008620.00387 +0.00475

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RPLUSD 0.003810.01208 -0.00827
DVFUSD 0.007800.01415 -0.00635
BTRSTUSD 0.007350.01369 -0.00634
DESOUSD 0.003090.00851 -0.00542
AIRUSD 0.001330.00631 -0.00498

Foreign exchange

TNDZAR was the most central name, carrying 5.55× the influence of an average node across 680 pairs.

pairs
680
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.328
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TNDZAR 1 0.00816 5.55× 2.1% 0.1% AUDPKR
USDPGK 2 0.00728 4.95× 7.4% 1.3% CADPEN, PENUSD, USDDOP, USDALL, KRWCAD
AUDPKR 3 0.00724 4.92× 0.3% 0.4% TNDZAR, JPYPKR, ZARTND
AUDTRY 4 0.00594 4.04× 3.4% 1.9% TRYPLN, JPYNOK, ZARMYR, ZARTWD, XAUZAR
XAURUB 5 0.00580 3.94× 5.0% 1.6% AUDTRY, GBPZAR, NZDNOK, XAGEUR, ZARGBP
MADUSD 6 0.00558 3.80× 5.0% 1.0% GBPUGX, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, EURTHB, MWKUSD
ILSCAD 7 0.00556 3.78× 2.1% 2.7% AUDMYR, ZARMYR, MYRTWD, CHFMYR, IDRMYR
KWDGBP 8 0.00532 3.62× 4.7% 1.9% AUDAED, GBPBHD, USDSCR, ILSJOD, GBPOMR
ZARIDR 9 0.00529 3.60× 4.6% 1.2% CADMYR, HKDMYR, THBMYR, INRMYR, TRYPLN
ZARTWD 10 0.00529 3.60× 5.0% 2.1% INRMYR, HKDMYR, CADMYR, THBMYR, DKKJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-03-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TNDZAR 0.008160.00129 +0.00687
USDPGK 0.007280.00132 +0.00595
AUDPKR 0.007240.00196 +0.00527
BRLUSD 0.005130.00046 +0.00468
ZARILS 0.005070.00059 +0.00448

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZAREUR 0.000540.00895 -0.00841
INRTHB 0.001160.00842 -0.00725
NZDNOK 0.001040.00679 -0.00575
TWDTHB 0.000360.00579 -0.00542
CLPAUD 0.001750.00683 -0.00508

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.