catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.67× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.195
Clustering
0.400
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01415 4.67× 68.4% 21.3% HIGHUSD, 1INCHUSD, MXCUSD, ACAUSD, RAREUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.01369 4.52× 63.2% 37.7% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, RADUSD, KP3RUSD, LSETHUSD
RPLUSD 3 0.01208 3.99× 61.7% 8.8% BTRSTUSD, NCTUSD, DESOUSD, ASTUSD, SCRTUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.00851 2.81× 48.0% 30.4% CBETHUSD, LSETHUSD, ETHUSD, OXTUSD, NKNUSD
DNTUSD 5 0.00786 2.59× 45.6% 20.1% DVFUSD, LOKAUSD, RPLUSD, XDCUSD, BTRSTUSD
GARIUSD 6 0.00723 2.39× 43.8% 30.4% UNIUSD, EWTUSD, KP3RUSD, CTSIUSD, LSKUSD
AVTUSD 7 0.00697 2.30× 47.1% 25.5% XLMUSD, EOSUSD, MASKUSD, YGGEUR, DVFUSD
INVUSD 8 0.00641 2.11× 40.4% 17.6% TRXUSD, PONDUSD, ADXUSD, PUNDIXUSD, FORTUSD
AIRUSD 9 0.00631 2.08× 34.3% 28.9% RADUSD, CVXUSD, ETHAUD, APEUSD, BICOUSD
AURORAUSD 10 0.00623 2.05× 35.9% 10.6% SRMUSD, MULTIUSD, STORJUSD, LUNAUSD, TRBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.013690.00393 +0.00975
RPLUSD 0.012080.00415 +0.00793
DVFUSD 0.014150.00698 +0.00717
DNTUSD 0.007860.00340 +0.00445
INVUSD 0.006410.00291 +0.00350

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRDUSD 0.004020.00890 -0.00488
RAREUSD 0.002490.00642 -0.00393
TIMEUSD 0.005360.00920 -0.00384
KILTUSD 0.002080.00567 -0.00359
AMPUSD 0.001780.00500 -0.00322

Foreign exchange

ZAREUR was the most central name, carrying 6.05× the influence of an average node across 676 pairs.

pairs
676
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.345
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZAREUR 1 0.00895 6.05× 2.1% 1.2% ZARKRW, ZARUSD, ZARAED, ZARSEK, PENCAD
INRTHB 2 0.00842 5.69× 1.0% 1.8% HKDZAR, USDUGX, EURZAR, CADZAR, CHFZAR
ZARTWD 3 0.00765 5.17× 6.7% 2.8% XAGSAR, XAGTRY, XAGZAR, XAGUSD, XAGEUR
XAUMXN 4 0.00741 5.01× 4.9% 2.2% XAGJPY, AUDTRY, XAGBRL, ZARTWD, JPYCLP
CLPAUD 5 0.00683 4.62× 3.3% 0.1% ZAREUR
NZDNOK 6 0.00679 4.59× 3.0% 1.0% ZARTWD, NZDTWD, ZARMYR, XAUMXN, PLNNOK
ZARIDR 7 0.00600 4.06× 5.2% 3.0% XAGTRY, HKDMYR, INRMYR, CZKPLN, PLNCZK
JPYGBP 8 0.00599 4.05× 3.0% 2.2% NOKCHF, HKDJPY, NZDNOK, AUDHUF, CZKNOK
TWDTHB 9 0.00579 3.91× 3.6% 0.0%
AUDCLP 10 0.00548 3.70× 3.6% 1.2% AEDZAR, SGDZAR, TRYZAR, LKRZAR, OMRZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
INRTHB 0.008420.00060 +0.00782
ZAREUR 0.008950.00156 +0.00739
ZARTWD 0.007650.00042 +0.00723
NZDNOK 0.006790.00027 +0.00652
JPYGBP 0.005990.00038 +0.00561

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CNYAUD 0.000280.00770 -0.00741
NZDTHB 0.002010.00886 -0.00685
AUDTRY 0.002360.00741 -0.00505
XAGARS 0.000280.00502 -0.00474
THBEUR 0.001820.00611 -0.00429

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.