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Daily network digest

Friday, March 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.11× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.198
Clustering
0.415
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.00943 3.11× 50.8% 21.9% STGUSD, LINKUSD, AIRUSD, GNOUSD, SGBUSD
XRDUSD 2 0.00902 2.98× 51.4% 24.3% RARIEUR, OPUSD, ENJUSD, GSTUSD, ETHWUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00823 2.72× 48.6% 19.8% BNTUSD, REPUSD, AIRUSD, SUKUUSD, XRDUSD
ABTUSD 4 0.00749 2.47× 45.3% 22.8% PLUUSD, GSTUSD, PYRUSD, DEXTUSD, RPLUSD
CTXUSD 5 0.00709 2.34× 44.1% 13.1% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, HOPRUSD, API3USD, SCRTUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00683 2.25× 40.7% 27.1% POLSUSD, DESOUSD, POWRUSD, TUSD, BLZUSD
XRPAUD 7 0.00681 2.25× 41.9% 19.5% PYRUSD, HBARUSD, BTCJPY, AIRUSD, LPTUSD
NANOUSD 8 0.00673 2.22× 43.5% 13.7% XRPAUD, GSTUSD, XRPUSD, GALUSD, TIMEUSD
DVFUSD 9 0.00654 2.16× 39.2% 24.0% NYMUSD, ETHUSD, FORTHUSD, BATUSD, ETHBTC
DESOUSD 10 0.00650 2.14× 43.2% 34.0% DVFUSD, RAREUSD, ETH2XUSD, GLMUSD, AXSUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TIMEUSD 0.009430.00398 +0.00545
ABTUSD 0.007490.00216 +0.00532
NANOUSD 0.006730.00217 +0.00456
XRDUSD 0.009020.00448 +0.00453
XRPAUD 0.006810.00229 +0.00451

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.004390.01171 -0.00733
ROOKUSD 0.006020.01192 -0.00590
AERGOUSD 0.001630.00732 -0.00569
POWRUSD 0.001830.00694 -0.00511
CQTUSD 0.001940.00619 -0.00425

Foreign exchange

RONZAR was the most central name, carrying 5.70× the influence of an average node across 699 pairs.

pairs
699
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.328
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RONZAR 1 0.00815 5.70× 0.7% 0.7% USDNZD, CZKZAR, ZARCZK, TRYUSD, USDTRY
XAUMXN 2 0.00773 5.41× 4.6% 2.0% IDRUSD, XAURUB, AUDTRY, XAGBRL, XAUKRW
ZARCZK 3 0.00732 5.12× 0.9% 0.1% RONZAR
USDPGK 4 0.00642 4.49× 6.7% 1.6% DKKAED, USDRWF, USDDOP, GBPMWK, AEDSEK
XPFGBP 5 0.00615 4.30× 5.3% 1.1% AUDTRY, XAGJPY, TRYPLN, XAUEUR, XAGRUB
BRLEUR 6 0.00599 4.19× 1.1% 0.9% CDFUSD, GBPALL, ALLUSD, BRLCAD, ZARTHB
JPYCLP 7 0.00568 3.97× 2.3% 3.2% XAGBRL, XAGAUD, XAUBRL, XAGTRY, SEKJPY
GBPNGN 8 0.00537 3.75× 3.0% 0.9% ZMWZAR, EURJOD, RUBSEK, AUDUSD, SEKUSD
XAGJPY 9 0.00536 3.74× 3.0% 4.3% XAGGBP, XAGAUD, XAUKRW, XAUCAD, XAGKRW
ZARIDR 10 0.00531 3.71× 2.3% 0.6% HKDMYR, CADMYR, THBMYR, INRMYR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RONZAR 0.008150.00027 +0.00788
ZARCZK 0.007320.00027 +0.00705
BRLEUR 0.005990.00073 +0.00526
NZDNOK 0.005130.00027 +0.00486
USDPGK 0.006420.00164 +0.00478

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKILS 0.000820.00625 -0.00543
USDALL 0.002830.00812 -0.00529
NZDTRY 0.001470.00650 -0.00503
AUDTRY 0.003690.00787 -0.00419
PLNMXN 0.000700.00444 -0.00373

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.