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Daily network digest

Thursday, March 14, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ROOKUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.93× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.210
Clustering
0.428
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ROOKUSD 1 0.01192 3.93× 69.6% 41.6% MOVRUSD, MKRUSD, POWRUSD, DUSKUSD, NKNUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.01171 3.86× 58.1% 20.4% WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, CTXUSD, BTCUSD, BTCEUR
XDCUSD 3 0.00860 2.84× 48.3% 17.0% PROUSD, LTCBTC, GSTUSD, INTRUSD, BALUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.00835 2.75× 54.1% 24.6% KEEPUSD, XRPBTC, ACAUSD, MKRUSD, POWRUSD
BTRSTUSD 5 0.00826 2.73× 47.1% 35.3% DASHUSD, ICXUSD, DSHUSD, BATUSD, STGUSD
AERGOUSD 6 0.00732 2.41× 46.5% 20.7% RLCUSD, MXCUSD, ALGOUSD, ATOMUSD, SNXUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00694 2.29× 42.2% 21.9% KP3RUSD, IDEXUSD, GNOUSD, GRTUSD, MUSEUSD
POWRUSD 8 0.00694 2.29× 39.2% 16.4% RBNUSD, ALPHAUSD, LTCBTC, ETHBTC, ENSUSD
CVCUSD 9 0.00689 2.27× 39.8% 13.1% PNKUSD, XDCUSD, XMRUSD, MDTUSD, DARUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00682 2.25× 41.6% 15.5% PRIMEUSD, KARUSD, PONDUSD, RBCUSD, NEOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.011710.00359 +0.00812
ROOKUSD 0.011920.00431 +0.00761
KRLUSD 0.008350.00275 +0.00560
CQTUSD 0.006190.00141 +0.00478
XDCUSD 0.008600.00387 +0.00473

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RPLUSD 0.003550.01152 -0.00797
AIRUSD 0.001380.00746 -0.00608
BTRSTUSD 0.008260.01431 -0.00605
ERNUSD 0.002190.00655 -0.00436
HBARUSD 0.002160.00595 -0.00379

Foreign exchange

USDALL was the most central name, carrying 5.38× the influence of an average node across 663 pairs.

pairs
663
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.379
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDALL 1 0.00812 5.38× 7.3% 5.4% LKRGBP, NZDAED, MADZAR, ZARMAD, ZARRWF
AUDTRY 2 0.00787 5.22× 3.5% 2.3% JPYNOK, GBPHUF, NZDHUF, ILSCAD, XAGCNY
ZARIDR 3 0.00765 5.07× 3.3% 0.9% SEKNOK, INRMYR, ZARMYR, HKDMYR, NOKJPY
NZDTRY 4 0.00650 4.31× 3.5% 2.0% ILSCAD, JPYNOK, GBPHUF, NZDHUF, XAGKRW
COPUSD 5 0.00626 4.15× 2.4% 0.9% DKKRUB, ZARMYR, NZDMYR, JPYMYR, AUDMYR
NOKILS 6 0.00625 4.15× 2.7% 1.1% GBPNGN, ILSZAR, MXNZAR, LKRZAR, NZDUSD
TRYPLN 7 0.00571 3.79× 2.3% 2.0% NZDTRY, AUDTRY, ILSCAD, JPYNOK, ZARPLN
AEDAUD 8 0.00557 3.69× 3.5% 1.2% THBNZD, ZARHUF, THBJPY, NZDTHB, GBPTHB
GBPNGN 9 0.00551 3.65× 2.7% 2.0% ZARUSD, ZARAED, EURJOD, ZARTRY, LKRZAR
EURKWD 10 0.00525 3.48× 2.6% 3.3% KWDEUR, CNYZAR, SZLCHF, EURBHD, GBPALL

Rising influence vs 2024-03-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NZDTRY 0.006500.00114 +0.00536
ZARIDR 0.007650.00308 +0.00457
USDALL 0.008120.00368 +0.00443
AEDAUD 0.005570.00160 +0.00397
NOKILS 0.006250.00238 +0.00387

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MDLUSD 0.000550.00623 -0.00568
AUDILS 0.001440.00676 -0.00532
ZARNZD 0.000460.00458 -0.00412
CNYAUD 0.002940.00697 -0.00403
NOKSEK 0.000890.00466 -0.00377

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.