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Daily network digest

Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.14× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.197
Clustering
0.413
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.00950 3.14× 54.4% 20.1% REPUSD, BNTUSD, XRDUSD, ANKRUSD, ELAUSD
TIMEUSD 2 0.00936 3.09× 49.5% 22.2% STGUSD, LINKUSD, DOTUSD, ORNUSD, SGBUSD
SUKUUSD 3 0.00871 2.87× 39.2% 17.6% EULUSD, QNTUSD, XRDUSD, ALCXUSD, BOBAUSD
XRDUSD 4 0.00826 2.73× 46.5% 28.3% RARIEUR, OPUSD, ENJUSD, YFIUSD, LUNAUSD
CTXUSD 5 0.00785 2.59× 44.1% 14.3% BLZUSD, NKNUSD, SCRTUSD, XCADUSD, CVXUSD
ABTUSD 6 0.00727 2.40× 43.2% 24.0% PLUUSD, GSTUSD, PYRUSD, VETUSD, SUKUUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00699 2.31× 41.6% 25.2% POLSUSD, DESOUSD, CTXUSD, POWRUSD, TUSD
NANOUSD 8 0.00681 2.25× 43.2% 13.4% XRPAUD, GSTUSD, TIMEUSD, ETCUSD, FXSUSD
DESOUSD 9 0.00666 2.20× 42.6% 32.2% DVFUSD, SHPINGUSD, AXSUSD, RAREUSD, FOXUSD
HOPRUSD 10 0.00653 2.16× 41.0% 18.2% LSETHUSD, ETH2XUSD, ETHBTC, GNOUSD, ETHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SUKUUSD 0.008710.00347 +0.00524
TIMEUSD 0.009360.00416 +0.00520
ABTUSD 0.007270.00223 +0.00503
DESOUSD 0.006660.00212 +0.00453
NANOUSD 0.006810.00247 +0.00433

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.004920.01217 -0.00725
ROOKUSD 0.006170.01261 -0.00644
AERGOUSD 0.001600.00775 -0.00615
POWRUSD 0.001950.00784 -0.00588
BTRSTUSD 0.003850.00906 -0.00521

Foreign exchange

XAUMXN was the most central name, carrying 6.79× the influence of an average node across 700 pairs.

pairs
700
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUMXN 1 0.00970 6.79× 4.4% 1.7% XAGJPY, IDRUSD, AUDTRY, XAGBRL, XAUKRW
ZARCZK 2 0.00623 4.36× 0.7% 0.3% RONZAR, ZARRON
USDPGK 3 0.00614 4.30× 7.0% 1.4% DKKAED, AEDSEK, USDRWF, USDALL, MWKGBP
PKREUR 4 0.00601 4.21× 0.9% 1.0% RUBKRW, KRWRUB, JPYRUB, RUBJPY, GBPRUB
BRLEUR 5 0.00595 4.16× 1.3% 0.9% GBPALL, CDFUSD, ALLUSD, BRLCAD, ZARTHB
NZDNOK 6 0.00581 4.07× 2.3% 0.6% NZDTWD, XAUMXN, NOKPLN, PLNNOK
JPYCLP 7 0.00558 3.90× 3.1% 3.1% XAGAUD, XAUBRL, XAGBRL, GBPSEK, IDRUSD
GBPNGN 8 0.00555 3.88× 3.0% 1.0% ZMWZAR, EURJOD, RUBSEK, SEKUSD, ZARTRY
DKKRUB 9 0.00510 3.57× 2.9% 0.1% JPYMYR
USDSCR 10 0.00503 3.52× 3.6% 3.3% GBPKWD, GBPBHD, GBPOMR, OMRGBP, NOKZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUMXN 0.009700.00328 +0.00642
ZARCZK 0.006230.00027 +0.00595
NZDNOK 0.005810.00027 +0.00554
BRLEUR 0.005950.00071 +0.00524
USDPGK 0.006140.00151 +0.00464

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.004560.01110 -0.00654
NOKILS 0.000890.00649 -0.00560
NZDTRY 0.001150.00670 -0.00555
INRZAR 0.000460.00562 -0.00516
AUDTRY 0.002610.00767 -0.00506

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.