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Daily network digest

Monday, March 11, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ROOKUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.16× the influence of an average node across 330 assets.

assets
330
Density
0.190
Clustering
0.402
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ROOKUSD 1 0.01261 4.16× 65.7% 40.7% MOVRUSD, MKRUSD, POWRUSD, ETH2XUSD, GFIUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.01217 4.02× 54.1% 14.9% BTCAUD, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, CTXUSD, BTCGBP
KRLUSD 3 0.00917 3.03× 52.3% 19.8% MKRUSD, XRPBTC, KEEPUSD, RADUSD, ACAUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.00906 2.99× 46.8% 31.9% DASHUSD, DSHUSD, ICXUSD, BATUSD, PNGUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.00903 2.98× 44.4% 16.7% AIRUSD, GSTUSD, INTRUSD, PROUSD, OXTUSD
POWRUSD 6 0.00784 2.59× 40.7% 13.7% RBNUSD, ASTRUSD, ALPHAUSD, CGLDUSD, LTCBTC
AERGOUSD 7 0.00775 2.56× 43.5% 16.1% RLCUSD, SNXUSD, MXCUSD, REPV2USD, MOVRUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00760 2.51× 40.4% 14.0% KARUSD, RBCUSD, NEOUSD, PRIMEUSD, PONDUSD
REPUSD 9 0.00759 2.50× 40.1% 19.8% KP3RUSD, IDEXUSD, MUSEUSD, GNOUSD, GRTUSD
CVCUSD 10 0.00733 2.42× 38.6% 12.8% PNKUSD, KRLUSD, XMRUSD, XDCUSD, MDTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-10

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.012170.00372 +0.00845
ROOKUSD 0.012610.00476 +0.00785
KRLUSD 0.009170.00309 +0.00608
XDCUSD 0.009030.00397 +0.00506
CVCUSD 0.007330.00237 +0.00496

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RPLUSD 0.003020.01024 -0.00722
AIRUSD 0.001610.00821 -0.00660
BTRSTUSD 0.009060.01434 -0.00528
ERNUSD 0.002030.00645 -0.00442
ABTUSD 0.002230.00665 -0.00442

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 7.36× the influence of an average node across 663 pairs.

pairs
663
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.357
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01110 7.36× 3.3% 0.8% ZARMYR, HKDMYR, INRMYR, SEKNOK, DKKRUB
USDALL 2 0.00786 5.21× 7.3% 5.7% LKRGBP, NZDAED, ZARMAD, MADZAR, NZDCNY
AUDTRY 3 0.00767 5.08× 3.2% 2.7% JPYNOK, GBPHUF, NZDHUF, ILSCAD, XAGKRW
GBPXPF 4 0.00702 4.65× 2.4% 0.2% ZARIDR
NZDTRY 5 0.00670 4.44× 2.9% 1.8% ILSCAD, JPYNOK, GBPHUF, NZDHUF, XAGBRL
NOKILS 6 0.00649 4.31× 2.3% 0.8% GBPNGN, ILSZAR, MXNZAR, LKRZAR, ZARKRW
XAGBRL 7 0.00604 4.01× 5.3% 1.5% AUDTRY, NZDTRY, JPYGBP, JPYNOK, COPUSD
GBPNGN 8 0.00589 3.90× 2.7% 2.7% ZARUSD, EURJOD, ZARTRY, ZARAED, LKRZAR
TRYPLN 9 0.00585 3.88× 1.8% 2.3% NZDTRY, AUDTRY, JPYNOK, ZARPLN, ILSCAD
USDNOK 10 0.00566 3.75× 2.6% 0.2% ILSJPY

Rising influence vs 2024-03-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.011100.00218 +0.00892
GBPXPF 0.007020.00026 +0.00676
USDALL 0.007860.00197 +0.00589
NZDTRY 0.006700.00096 +0.00574
AUDTRY 0.007670.00230 +0.00537

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUMXN 0.003280.01092 -0.00763
JODILS 0.003030.00922 -0.00619
AEDNZD 0.004680.01029 -0.00560
USDNZD 0.000330.00548 -0.00515
NZDNOK 0.000270.00495 -0.00467

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.