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Daily network digest

Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ASTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.30× the influence of an average node across 327 assets.

assets
327
Density
0.184
Clustering
0.391
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ASTUSD 1 0.01316 4.30× 54.6% 15.3% WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, BTCUSD, BTCEUR, CTXUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.00970 3.17× 50.9% 26.1% XRPBTC, RADUSD, RNDRUSD, KEEPUSD, MNAUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.00936 3.06× 46.9% 30.4% DASHUSD, ICXUSD, RADUSD, DSHUSD, BATUSD
AERGOUSD 4 0.00883 2.89× 43.9% 15.6% RLCUSD, MOVRUSD, REPV2USD, MXCUSD, ATOMUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00827 2.71× 42.0% 14.7% KARUSD, RBCUSD, PONDUSD, NEOUSD, KEYUSD
REPUSD 6 0.00805 2.63× 40.8% 16.0% IDEXUSD, KP3RUSD, WAXLUSD, XYOUSD, BTTUSD
XDCUSD 7 0.00773 2.53× 38.3% 21.2% INTRUSD, PROUSD, PRQUSD, IDEXUSD, GSTUSD
CVCUSD 8 0.00757 2.48× 39.0% 8.9% PNKUSD, XMRUSD, KRLUSD, CHREUR, DARUSD
MDTUSD 9 0.00748 2.45× 32.5% 34.7% POLSUSD, TIMEUSD, ICPUSD, SWFTCUSD, ENJUSD
NEXOUSD 10 0.00741 2.42× 37.7% 22.1% REPUSD, OXTUSD, MTLUSD, CTXUSD, GNOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.013160.00406 +0.00911
KRLUSD 0.009700.00262 +0.00709
AERGOUSD 0.008830.00304 +0.00579
CVCUSD 0.007570.00259 +0.00499
MDTUSD 0.007480.00261 +0.00487

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.001710.00746 -0.00575
ERNUSD 0.002200.00704 -0.00484
INVUSD 0.002760.00745 -0.00469
RPLUSD 0.003210.00786 -0.00466
ASMUSD 0.001600.00583 -0.00423

Foreign exchange

XAUMXN was the most central name, carrying 8.42× the influence of an average node across 699 pairs.

pairs
699
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.313
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUMXN 1 0.01204 8.42× 4.4% 0.9% ILSCAD, XAUKRW, XAURUB, NZDEUR, AUDTRY
AEDNZD 2 0.01013 7.08× 4.7% 0.9% SGDTRY, TRYSGD, CADTRY, AUDMAD, MADAUD
JODILS 3 0.00963 6.73× 2.9% 1.4% CADTRY, MADAUD, SGDTRY, THBNZD, NZDHKD
GBPNGN 4 0.00862 6.03× 3.0% 1.9% ZMWZAR, BRLCLP, SEKUSD, TRYZAR, ZARTRY
CADTRY 5 0.00609 4.26× 1.0% 0.6% JODILS, ZARHKD, ZARSGD, ILSJOD
XAURUB 6 0.00608 4.25× 4.0% 1.9% XAGMXN, XAGBRL, TRYJPY, XAGSAR, GBPHUF
EURARS 7 0.00605 4.23× 1.6% 0.3% EURBRL, BRLKRW
ILSCAD 8 0.00582 4.07× 2.7% 0.6% USDNGN, ZARNZD, USDILS, XAUKRW
THBNZD 9 0.00564 3.94× 1.1% 0.1% AEDNZD
USDNZD 10 0.00553 3.87× 3.3% 0.7% NOKUSD, NOKILS, RONZAR, ZARRON, MXNZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUMXN 0.012040.00290 +0.00914
AEDNZD 0.010130.00260 +0.00753
JODILS 0.009630.00285 +0.00678
CADTRY 0.006090.00027 +0.00582
GBPNGN 0.008620.00304 +0.00558

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.002320.01756 -0.01524
PKRUSD 0.002140.00855 -0.00642
BRLEUR 0.000900.00509 -0.00418
USDPGK 0.004080.00814 -0.00405
ILSEUR 0.001680.00570 -0.00402

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.