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Daily network digest

Monday, March 4, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.77× the influence of an average node across 327 assets.

assets
327
Density
0.191
Clustering
0.394
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01154 3.77× 58.9% 36.2% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, YGGEUR, WILDUSD, RADUSD
DNTUSD 2 0.00915 2.99× 47.9% 29.1% LOKAUSD, DOTUSD, BTRSTUSD, RPLUSD, 1INCHUSD
RPLUSD 3 0.00786 2.57× 43.9% 12.0% BTRSTUSD, ASTUSD, SGBUSD, NCTUSD, FLRUSD
AIRUSD 4 0.00746 2.44× 37.4% 27.0% RADUSD, CVXUSD, ETHAUD, BALUSD, BICOUSD
INVUSD 5 0.00745 2.43× 39.6% 16.3% TRXUSD, GSTUSD, ADXUSD, 1INCHUSD, FORTUSD
XLMUSD 6 0.00729 2.38× 42.9% 19.3% ALEPHUSD, RBCUSD, XRTUSD, LSKUSD, HDXUSD
ERNUSD 7 0.00704 2.30× 38.3% 16.3% ARPAUSD, RUNEUSD, MTLUSD, FTMUSD, TRACUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00697 2.28× 41.1% 14.7% QIUSD, ARPAUSD, LPTUSD, CLVUSD, XRDUSD
MVUSD 9 0.00695 2.27× 46.3% 23.9% SRMUSD, NCTUSD, NMRUSD, JASMYUSD, ETH2XUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.00690 2.26× 43.3% 27.9% QTFUSD, BOBAUSD, DNTUSD, RADUSD, CTXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011540.00370 +0.00784
DNTUSD 0.009150.00364 +0.00551
XLMUSD 0.007290.00206 +0.00523
RPLUSD 0.007860.00402 +0.00384
INVUSD 0.007450.00362 +0.00382

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NANOUSD 0.004300.00861 -0.00431
KARUSD 0.001600.00576 -0.00416
SUKUUSD 0.003720.00782 -0.00409
XRDUSD 0.004760.00862 -0.00386
AMPUSD 0.002290.00595 -0.00366

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 12.03× the influence of an average node across 685 pairs.

pairs
685
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.316
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01756 12.03× 3.2% 1.2% DKKRUB, THBMYR, HKDMYR, INRMYR, CADMYR
PKRUSD 2 0.00855 5.86× 7.7% 3.2% USDLYD, BRLHKD, ZARMAD, BRLSEK, USDGHS
USDPGK 3 0.00814 5.57× 8.6% 1.6% USDGHS, PENUSD, CADPEN, USDDOP, GBPMWK
ILSEUR 4 0.00570 3.91× 5.3% 3.5% PLNILS, AEDSEK, USDSCR, AEDNOK, RUBNOK
USDSCR 5 0.00556 3.81× 4.5% 3.1% GBPKWD, GBPBHD, USDCOP, DKKAED, GBPOMR
AUDTRY 6 0.00529 3.62× 2.8% 2.3% JPYNOK, GBPHUF, NZDHUF, NOKDKK, XAGZAR
NZDZAR 7 0.00514 3.52× 1.6% 0.6% ZARCAD, PENBRL, TWDZAR, MYRTHB
BRLEUR 8 0.00509 3.48× 3.2% 1.6% GBPCDF, USDOMR, ALLGBP, CDFUSD, CDFGBP
KWDGBP 9 0.00484 3.32× 4.5% 2.3% AUDAED, GBPOMR, ILSJOD, GBPBHD, GBPSCR
MADUSD 10 0.00481 3.30× 5.0% 1.9% GBPUGX, GBPMWK, MWKGBP, ARSCAD, MWKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-01

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.017560.00120 +0.01635
PKRUSD 0.008550.00189 +0.00667
USDPGK 0.008140.00354 +0.00459
AUDTRY 0.005290.00070 +0.00459
BRLEUR 0.005090.00088 +0.00420

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNZD 0.000270.00740 -0.00713
AEDNZD 0.002600.00937 -0.00677
XAURUB 0.001530.00721 -0.00568
CADTRY 0.000270.00570 -0.00543
CADRUB 0.003070.00833 -0.00527

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.