catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Friday, February 23, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRDUSD was the most central name, carrying 2.97× the influence of an average node across 341 assets.

assets
341
Density
0.205
Clustering
0.428
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRDUSD 1 0.00871 2.97× 51.8% 32.1% RARIEUR, OPUSD, DEXTUSD, NYMUSD, APTUSD
NANOUSD 2 0.00777 2.65× 49.4% 15.0% XRPAUD, ANTUSD, PLAUSD, FORTUSD, FXSUSD
TIMEUSD 3 0.00765 2.61× 45.0% 31.2% LINKUSD, GNOUSD, STGUSD, ORNUSD, FORTUSD
EULUSD 4 0.00746 2.54× 43.2% 15.6% MNGOUSD, SWEATUSD, DARUSD, ELAUSD, TEERUSD
OXYUSD 5 0.00723 2.47× 43.8% 27.1% PNKUSD, BCHNUSD, ASTUSD, ETH2XUSD, CRVUSD
SHPINGUSD 6 0.00713 2.43× 44.7% 21.5% TRXUSD, MASKUSD, COMPUSD, XRPAUD, XTZUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00694 2.37× 42.1% 29.7% SUKUUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, RARIUSD, ANKRUSD
SWEATUSD 8 0.00663 2.26× 37.4% 17.6% GFIUSD, DORAUSD, ORCAUSD, ETHWUSD, MASKUSD
ZILUSD 9 0.00661 2.25× 40.0% 10.6% EWTUSD, RBNUSD, WCFGUSD, PLUUSD, CFGUSD
PNKUSD 10 0.00658 2.24× 40.6% 14.7% TIMEUSD, XRDUSD, DESOUSD, RPLUSD, MASKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRDUSD 0.008710.00365 +0.00506
NANOUSD 0.007770.00274 +0.00503
TIMEUSD 0.007650.00304 +0.00461
EULUSD 0.007460.00311 +0.00435
ASMUSD 0.005300.00152 +0.00378

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.002950.00812 -0.00517
ASTUSD 0.005000.01014 -0.00514
ROOKUSD 0.004700.00983 -0.00513
MDTUSD 0.002310.00689 -0.00458
AERGOUSD 0.001260.00531 -0.00404

Foreign exchange

AEDNZD was the most central name, carrying 6.83× the influence of an average node across 716 pairs.

pairs
716
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.335
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEDNZD 1 0.00953 6.83× 4.3% 0.8% SGDTRY, TRYSGD, CADTRY, MADAUD, AUDMAD
JODILS 2 0.00840 6.01× 3.1% 1.4% MADAUD, CADTRY, THBNZD, INRSEK, SGDTRY
XAUMXN 3 0.00759 5.44× 4.6% 2.4% AUDHUF, AUDCZK, GBPCZK, NZDCZK, XAURUB
USDNZD 4 0.00723 5.18× 2.5% 1.0% NOKILS, NOKUSD, RONZAR, LKRZAR, RUBUSD
XAURUB 5 0.00680 4.87× 5.5% 2.5% RUBGBP, TRYJPY, AUDHUF, RUBJPY, XAGMXN
CADTRY 6 0.00567 4.06× 1.1% 0.6% JODILS, HUFZAR, ILSJOD, ZARSGD
THBNZD 7 0.00553 3.96× 1.4% 0.1% AEDNZD
GBPNGN 8 0.00526 3.77× 2.5% 1.7% ZMWZAR, LKRZAR, BRLCLP, XPFGBP, RUBUSD
JPYZAR 9 0.00514 3.68× 1.1% 0.8% SCRUSD, KRWTHB, CNYKRW, CHFBRL, ARSUSD
USDTZS 10 0.00483 3.46× 4.2% 1.7% MWKUSD, GBPMWK, MWKGBP, MWKZAR, IQDUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNZD 0.007230.00115 +0.00608
XAURUB 0.006800.00153 +0.00526
CADTRY 0.005670.00096 +0.00471
XAUJPY 0.004610.00048 +0.00413
JPYZAR 0.005140.00120 +0.00394

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KESUSD 0.000410.00605 -0.00564
ARSUSD 0.001100.00502 -0.00392
EGPPKR 0.000250.00411 -0.00386
USDKRW 0.000620.00444 -0.00382
ZARNGN 0.002720.00621 -0.00349

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.