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Daily network digest

Thursday, February 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ASTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.45× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.196
Clustering
0.418
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ASTUSD 1 0.01014 3.45× 50.7% 17.4% WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, BTCUSD, KILTUSD, KARUSD
ZILUSD 2 0.00996 3.39× 52.8% 12.1% INVUSD, ASTUSD, EWTUSD, BCHUSD, SHPINGUSD
ROOKUSD 3 0.00983 3.34× 59.9% 41.3% MKRUSD, MOVRUSD, GNOUSD, DUSKUSD, JUNOUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.00892 3.03× 55.8% 20.4% RNDRUSD, KEEPUSD, XRPBTC, MANAUSD, MKRUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00820 2.79× 46.9% 17.1% PONDUSD, POLSUSD, KARUSD, RBCUSD, CHEXUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.00812 2.76× 47.8% 28.0% DASHUSD, REQUSD, XRPBTC, PNGUSD, RADUSD
GARIUSD 7 0.00789 2.68× 46.6% 29.5% BTRSTUSD, OGNUSD, KILTUSD, FIDAUSD, KARUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00737 2.51× 44.8% 25.7% IDEXUSD, KP3RUSD, PLUUSD, FIDAUSD, WAMPLUSD
XDCUSD 9 0.00737 2.50× 46.0% 19.5% LTCBTC, PRQUSD, INTRUSD, GSTUSD, MOVRUSD
NYMUSD 10 0.00721 2.45× 46.0% 21.2% XDCUSD, DIAUSD, GSTUSD, XRDUSD, RAREUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.008920.00251 +0.00640
ASTUSD 0.010140.00402 +0.00611
ROOKUSD 0.009830.00384 +0.00599
ZILUSD 0.009960.00416 +0.00580
BSXUSD 0.006480.00209 +0.00439

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.001790.00781 -0.00601
INVUSD 0.003030.00839 -0.00536
ERNUSD 0.001930.00627 -0.00434
ASMUSD 0.001520.00539 -0.00387
CHEXUSD 0.003880.00759 -0.00371

Foreign exchange

AEDNZD was the most central name, carrying 4.53× the influence of an average node across 693 pairs.

pairs
693
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.349
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEDNZD 1 0.00653 4.53× 3.6% 1.4% KRWSEK, MADAUD, ILSNOK, AUDMAD, SGDTRY
ZARNGN 2 0.00621 4.30× 2.6% 1.7% DKKPKR, RUBSEK, NOKRUB, NOKINR, EURPHP
KESUSD 3 0.00605 4.19× 5.5% 2.2% USDGHS, USDZMW, THBCNY, GBPUGX, GBPMGA
EURRUB 4 0.00598 4.14× 3.3% 1.6% ZARGHS, GHSZAR, EURAED, CHFSZL, SZLCHF
JODILS 5 0.00553 3.83× 2.6% 0.9% AEDNZD, AUDMAD, TRYSGD, BRLJPY, CNYAUD
CNYZAR 6 0.00509 3.53× 6.2% 7.4% NGNUSD, ARSMXN, SZLGBP, GBPSZL, MXNARS
PLNMXN 7 0.00509 3.53× 4.9% 3.6% KRWRUB, TRYPLN, XAUSAR, XAUINR, RUBKRW
ARSUSD 8 0.00502 3.48× 1.9% 0.9% EURARS, KZTUSD, USDKZT, AUDZAR, BRLKRW
XAUGBP 9 0.00499 3.46× 4.3% 1.9% PLNMXN, PLNNOK, GBPCZK, NZDMXN, NZDPLN
USDPGK 10 0.00481 3.33× 5.6% 1.7% KWDGBP, GBPSCR, OMRGBP, GBPKWD, PLNILS

Rising influence vs 2024-02-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KESUSD 0.006050.00038 +0.00567
USDPGK 0.004810.00065 +0.00416
USDKRW 0.004440.00034 +0.00410
EGPPKR 0.004110.00026 +0.00386
ZARNGN 0.006210.00262 +0.00360

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDMAD 0.002780.00842 -0.00564
ZARIDR 0.004040.00908 -0.00504
EURKWD 0.000780.00572 -0.00494
JPYRSD 0.001220.00605 -0.00483
ZARNZD 0.000730.00499 -0.00426

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.