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Daily network digest

Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.78× the influence of an average node across 341 assets.

assets
341
Density
0.204
Clustering
0.420
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01108 3.78× 62.6% 35.9% DEXTUSD, APTUSD, KP3RUSD, ETHUSD, EWTUSD
INVUSD 2 0.00839 2.86× 49.4% 19.4% TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD, PONDUSD, GSTUSD, THETAUSD
RPLUSD 3 0.00808 2.76× 52.1% 17.4% BTRSTUSD, SGBUSD, MNGOUSD, SWEATUSD, FLRUSD
MVUSD 4 0.00801 2.73× 55.3% 23.5% NMRUSD, CROUSD, JASMYUSD, AIRUSD, TRACUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00797 2.72× 53.8% 22.6% LPTUSD, ARPAUSD, CLVUSD, GFIUSD, RUNEUSD
AIRUSD 6 0.00781 2.66× 44.1% 30.9% RADUSD, CVXUSD, BALUSD, ETHAUD, PNKUSD
CHEXUSD 7 0.00759 2.59× 49.4% 35.9% NCTUSD, THETAUSD, DASHUSD, ETHAUD, ORNUSD
XLMUSD 8 0.00758 2.59× 45.9% 24.1% ALEPHUSD, ORNUSD, XRTUSD, RBCUSD, RAYUSD
DNTUSD 9 0.00754 2.57× 47.4% 27.1% LOKAUSD, BTRSTUSD, ALPHAUSD, PHAUSD, CBETHUSD
NYMUSD 10 0.00702 2.40× 45.3% 17.1% BTRSTUSD, GARIUSD, GTCUSD, NCTUSD, XVGUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011080.00254 +0.00854
XLMUSD 0.007580.00145 +0.00613
INVUSD 0.008390.00318 +0.00520
DNTUSD 0.007540.00324 +0.00430
SRMUSD 0.006500.00274 +0.00376

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRDUSD 0.004380.00878 -0.00440
RARIUSD 0.002430.00604 -0.00362
KILTUSD 0.001890.00546 -0.00357
EULUSD 0.003810.00713 -0.00332
WAMPLUSD 0.001840.00504 -0.00320

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 6.34× the influence of an average node across 699 pairs.

pairs
699
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.339
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.00908 6.34× 2.3% 0.6% HKDMYR, INRMYR, ZARMYR, BRLUSD
AUDMAD 2 0.00842 5.89× 2.9% 0.9% HUFZAR, ILSSEK, ILSJOD, BRLJPY, MADAUD
AEDNZD 3 0.00716 5.00× 4.4% 1.6% THBNZD, GBPTHB, NZDSGD, NZDHKD, GBPSAR
JPYRSD 4 0.00605 4.23× 3.9% 1.4% GBPOMR, AUDAED, GBPZMW, USDLYD, GBPKWD
EURKWD 5 0.00572 4.00× 1.6% 1.4% KWDEUR, AUDZAR, BWPZAR, CNYKRW, OMRUSD
CHFSZL 6 0.00545 3.81× 7.0% 3.7% SGDARS, ARSSGD, ZARGHS, GHSZAR, LKRGBP
RUBUSD 7 0.00535 3.74× 3.0% 1.4% MXNZAR, AEDZAR, ZMWZAR, PLNCHF, DKKPLN
TRYPLN 8 0.00526 3.68× 3.4% 1.7% XAGTRY, XAUZAR, XAURUB, ILSCAD, RUBKRW
ILSJOD 9 0.00522 3.65× 2.7% 1.4% HUFZAR, AEDNZD, JODILS, EURILS, USDARS
XAUGBP 10 0.00504 3.53× 4.7% 2.3% JPYNOK, RUBJPY, XAGTRY, XAGZAR, XAGRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-02-20

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.009080.00131 +0.00776
AUDMAD 0.008420.00276 +0.00566
JPYRSD 0.006050.00121 +0.00485
GBPSAR 0.005000.00025 +0.00475
TRYPLN 0.005260.00181 +0.00346

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JODILS 0.002250.01016 -0.00790
USDNZD 0.002910.00872 -0.00581
XAUMXN 0.003490.00819 -0.00470
CADTRY 0.001600.00593 -0.00433
THBNZD 0.001600.00557 -0.00397

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.