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Daily network digest

Friday, February 16, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ZILUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.18× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.186
Clustering
0.406
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZILUSD 1 0.01228 4.18× 55.8% 10.9% INVUSD, ASTUSD, EWTUSD, LTCBTC, ORCAUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.01117 3.80× 51.6% 17.7% BTCAUD, WBTCUSD, ICPUSD, BTCUSD, CTXUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00870 2.96× 48.7% 14.2% PONDUSD, POLSUSD, KEYUSD, RBCUSD, MTLUSD
XDCUSD 4 0.00847 2.88× 46.6% 21.5% INTRUSD, OXTUSD, LTCBTC, GLMUSD, PROUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.00822 2.80× 50.7% 19.8% RNDRUSD, MANAUSD, PHAUSD, AMPUSD, KEEPUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00785 2.67× 47.2% 22.7% AURORAUSD, AIRUSD, NKNUSD, XMRUSD, ENSUSD
REPUSD 7 0.00774 2.63× 44.5% 18.6% PLUUSD, IDEXUSD, KP3RUSD, FIDAUSD, WAXLUSD
ROOKUSD 8 0.00766 2.61× 48.1% 46.3% MOVRUSD, ORNUSD, MKRUSD, DUSKUSD, HOPRUSD
MXCUSD 9 0.00736 2.50× 41.9% 30.7% BCHUSD, BCHNUSD, LUNA2USD, KNCUSD, LSKUSD
MDTUSD 10 0.00730 2.48× 35.1% 36.3% ASTUSD, TIMEUSD, POLSUSD, SWFTCUSD, ICPUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.012280.00362 +0.00866
ASTUSD 0.011170.00348 +0.00769
KRLUSD 0.008220.00256 +0.00567
XDCUSD 0.008470.00354 +0.00492
MXCUSD 0.007360.00271 +0.00465

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.002130.00856 -0.00643
INVUSD 0.003090.00834 -0.00525
ASMUSD 0.001960.00659 -0.00463
BTRSTUSD 0.007290.01112 -0.00383
ERNUSD 0.002400.00607 -0.00367

Foreign exchange

XAUMXN was the most central name, carrying 7.05× the influence of an average node across 720 pairs.

pairs
720
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.336
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUMXN 1 0.00979 7.05× 4.6% 2.1% AUDCZK, GBPCZK, NZDCZK, AUDHUF, XAURUB
XAURUB 2 0.00790 5.69× 5.7% 2.1% TRYJPY, AUDHUF, GBPRUB, XAGCAD, XAGBRL
AEDNZD 3 0.00725 5.22× 3.9% 1.5% SGDTRY, TRYSGD, CADTRY, MADAUD, TRYDKK
XAUJPY 4 0.00673 4.85× 1.9% 3.3% PLNCZK, GBPPLN, XAUCNY, XAGCNY, XAGINR
ILSPLN 5 0.00619 4.46× 5.1% 1.7% GBPKWD, HUFEUR, GBPOMR, CADTRY, CHFTRY
EURTHB 6 0.00613 4.41× 2.1% 0.4% EURRUB, ZARTHB, KRWZAR
ZARTHB 7 0.00588 4.23× 3.6% 4.0% LKRUSD, USDLKR, PKRUSD, BRLEUR, ZARGHS
XAUUSD 8 0.00583 4.20× 3.3% 1.4% AUDHUF, GBPCZK, AUDCZK, NZDCZK, XAUAUD
ZARRON 9 0.00577 4.15× 1.4% 1.0% USDNZD, ZARCZK, CZKZAR, SEKILS, RUBUSD
USDNZD 10 0.00570 4.10× 0.8% 0.4% RONZAR, ZARRON, RUBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-15

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUJPY 0.006730.00051 +0.00623
XAURUB 0.007900.00177 +0.00613
AEDNZD 0.007250.00227 +0.00498
XAUMXN 0.009790.00485 +0.00494
CADTRY 0.005670.00075 +0.00492

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.002110.01657 -0.01446
KZTUSD 0.000690.00509 -0.00440
NOKSEK 0.000910.00526 -0.00435
USDKZT 0.000700.00502 -0.00432
TWDZAR 0.000810.00440 -0.00358

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.