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Daily network digest

Thursday, February 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.79× the influence of an average node across 341 assets.

assets
341
Density
0.198
Clustering
0.413
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01112 3.79× 61.2% 32.6% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, KP3RUSD, APTUSD, STGUSD
AIRUSD 2 0.00856 2.92× 44.7% 34.1% RADUSD, CVXUSD, ETHAUD, APEUSD, BALUSD
INVUSD 3 0.00834 2.84× 48.2% 14.4% TRXUSD, PONDUSD, THETAUSD, EOSUSD, FORTUSD
RPLUSD 4 0.00758 2.58× 47.4% 13.5% BTRSTUSD, SGBUSD, FLRUSD, MVUSD, AVTUSD
MVUSD 5 0.00752 2.56× 49.1% 23.2% NCTUSD, SYNUSD, NMRUSD, VETUSD, DENTUSD
XLMUSD 6 0.00750 2.56× 44.4% 21.2% ALEPHUSD, RBCUSD, ORNUSD, TRXUSD, XRTUSD
GARIUSD 7 0.00744 2.54× 47.6% 30.0% EWTUSD, CTSIUSD, KP3RUSD, LSKUSD, ICPUSD
CHEXUSD 8 0.00734 2.50× 46.8% 27.1% NCTUSD, ORNUSD, LDOUSD, THETAUSD, ETHAUD
DNTUSD 9 0.00723 2.46× 45.6% 26.5% LOKAUSD, RPLUSD, BTRSTUSD, AKTEUR, PHAUSD
KINUSD 10 0.00721 2.46× 45.6% 39.4% DOTUSD, THETAUSD, KNCUSD, PLAUSD, LTCEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-02-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011120.00273 +0.00839
XLMUSD 0.007500.00163 +0.00587
INVUSD 0.008340.00315 +0.00519
DNTUSD 0.007230.00282 +0.00441
SRMUSD 0.006980.00296 +0.00401

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CTXUSD 0.002890.00697 -0.00408
EULUSD 0.004000.00803 -0.00404
KILTUSD 0.001790.00548 -0.00369
RAREUSD 0.001810.00549 -0.00368
RARIUSD 0.002480.00615 -0.00367

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 11.38× the influence of an average node across 687 pairs.

pairs
687
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01657 11.38× 3.1% 1.2% DKKRUB, INRMYR, CADMYR, THBMYR, HKDMYR
USDPGK 2 0.00675 4.64× 6.4% 1.2% GBPSCR, USDRWF, AEDSEK, USDDOP, USDALL
KWDGBP 3 0.00545 3.74× 3.6% 1.5% GBPBHD, ILSJOD, RUBNOK, THBGBP, GBPOMR
XAUGBP 4 0.00544 3.74× 4.5% 1.9% PLNMXN, GBPCZK, NZDCZK, NZDMXN, PLNNOK
NOKSEK 5 0.00526 3.62× 0.6% 0.7% JPYRUB, KRWRUB, RUBKRW, RUBJPY, RUBGBP
KZTUSD 6 0.00509 3.50× 3.1% 1.6% MWKGBP, GBPMWK, BDTJPY, CADCOP, COPCAD
USDKZT 7 0.00502 3.45× 2.9% 1.6% BDTJPY, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, MWKUSD, MXNPEN
PLNMXN 8 0.00492 3.38× 5.1% 3.4% TRYPLN, XAUSAR, XAUINR, AUDCZK, XAUEUR
XAUMXN 9 0.00485 3.33× 5.4% 3.8% XAUEUR, XAGZAR, XAUKRW, NZDTRY, XAGKRW
XAGZAR 10 0.00483 3.32× 6.4% 2.0% XAGCNY, XAGEUR, COPUSD, NZDTRY, XAGSAR

Rising influence vs 2024-02-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPGK 0.006750.00079 +0.00596
KZTUSD 0.005090.00090 +0.00419
USDKZT 0.005020.00088 +0.00414
NOKSEK 0.005260.00168 +0.00359
EURZMW 0.003790.00035 +0.00344

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MXNUSD 0.000800.00666 -0.00586
HUFPLN 0.001700.00720 -0.00550
EUROMR 0.003410.00856 -0.00514
COPARS 0.001380.00570 -0.00432
USDPLN 0.000430.00458 -0.00416

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.