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Daily network digest

Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

TIMEUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.03× the influence of an average node across 341 assets.

assets
341
Density
0.194
Clustering
0.412
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
TIMEUSD 1 0.00889 3.03× 49.4% 34.1% LINKUSD, DOTUSD, GNOUSD, AURORAUSD, STGUSD
NANOUSD 2 0.00867 2.96× 47.4% 13.5% XRPAUD, ETCUSD, PLAUSD, XYOUSD, ANTUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00823 2.81× 46.2% 20.3% SUKUUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, AIRUSD, KARUSD
XRDUSD 4 0.00813 2.77× 48.8% 31.5% OPUSD, RARIEUR, DEXTUSD, APTUSD, EWTUSD
MVUSD 5 0.00804 2.74× 48.2% 22.6% LCXUSD, BICOUSD, UNIUSD, KARUSD, DUSKUSD
EULUSD 6 0.00803 2.74× 43.5% 15.9% CHRUSD, ATOMUSD, WAXLUSD, MNGOUSD, PNKUSD
ABTUSD 7 0.00751 2.56× 42.4% 22.4% EOSUSD, PLUUSD, EULUSD, DEXTUSD, RPLUSD
CTXUSD 8 0.00697 2.38× 41.2% 19.1% SCRTUSD, AERGOUSD, XTZUSD, BLZUSD, TRBUSD
SHPINGUSD 9 0.00693 2.36× 41.2% 17.6% TRXUSD, TIMEUSD, MASKUSD, XTZUSD, COMPUSD
GSTUSD 10 0.00633 2.16× 37.9% 15.0% ABTUSD, ATOMUSD, SUKUUSD, LUNAUSD, PNGUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NANOUSD 0.008670.00256 +0.00611
XRDUSD 0.008130.00346 +0.00467
EULUSD 0.008030.00356 +0.00447
TIMEUSD 0.008890.00473 +0.00417
CTXUSD 0.006970.00295 +0.00402

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.006270.01314 -0.00687
ASTUSD 0.004320.01081 -0.00650
MXCUSD 0.002690.00767 -0.00498
MDTUSD 0.002250.00715 -0.00489
ROOKUSD 0.004900.00965 -0.00475

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 12.19× the influence of an average node across 710 pairs.

pairs
710
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.335
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01716 12.19× 2.7% 0.6% ZARMYR, HKDMYR, INRMYR, DKKRUB
EUROMR 2 0.00856 6.08× 1.8% 0.7% ZARPKR, PKRZAR, COPCLP, CLPCOP, USDMXN
HUFPLN 3 0.00720 5.11× 0.7% 0.1% MXNUSD
MXNUSD 4 0.00666 4.73× 0.4% 0.8% MXNSGD, CADMXN, MXNCAD, RUBCHF, AUDILS
AEDNZD 5 0.00624 4.43× 3.7% 2.0% THBNZD, INRAUD, GBPTHB, GBPSAR, NZDINR
HKDMYR 6 0.00603 4.28× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
INRMYR 7 0.00579 4.11× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
COPARS 8 0.00570 4.05× 2.3% 1.4% OMRUSD, NZDZAR, KRWTHB, KWDEUR, HKDZAR
XAUGBP 9 0.00527 3.74× 4.4% 2.0% JPYNOK, XAGTRY, PLNMXN, XAGZAR, XAGRUB
USDALL 10 0.00508 3.61× 5.5% 5.5% NZDAED, LKRGBP, NZDCNY, GBPZMW, ZARMAD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.017160.00213 +0.01503
EUROMR 0.008560.00058 +0.00798
HUFPLN 0.007200.00074 +0.00646
MXNUSD 0.006660.00087 +0.00578
HKDMYR 0.006030.00026 +0.00577

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARRON 0.000490.00638 -0.00588
XAUMXN 0.003970.00924 -0.00527
XAUJPY 0.001720.00687 -0.00515
RONZAR 0.000570.00568 -0.00511
CADTRY 0.001300.00573 -0.00443

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.