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Daily network digest

Wednesday, February 7, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ZILUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.10× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.184
Clustering
0.399
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZILUSD 1 0.01206 4.10× 55.8% 11.8% INVUSD, EWTUSD, LTCBTC, MVUSD, RBNUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.01100 3.74× 52.2% 21.5% WBTCUSD, QIUSD, CFGUSD, BTCAUD, WCFGUSD
ROOKUSD 3 0.01072 3.64× 64.3% 47.8% MOVRUSD, DSHUSD, DASHUSD, MKRUSD, GNOUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.00989 3.36× 58.1% 17.7% ACAUSD, RNDRUSD, ALPHAUSD, XRPBTC, MANAUSD
XDCUSD 5 0.00863 2.94× 46.3% 23.0% INTRUSD, LTCBTC, API3USD, FXSUSD, PROUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00839 2.85× 49.3% 24.2% AURORAUSD, ACAUSD, AIRUSD, DOGEUSD, INTRUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00825 2.80× 44.2% 20.1% PONDUSD, RBCUSD, KEYUSD, CHEXUSD, RPLUSD
NYMUSD 8 0.00752 2.56× 45.1% 15.6% XDCUSD, COTIUSD, VOXELUSD, GSTUSD, QNTUSD
ALEPHUSD 9 0.00750 2.55× 44.5% 11.8% CTSIUSD, IDEXUSD, ETHBTC, BTCJPY, BLZUSD
PROUSD 10 0.00704 2.40× 39.2% 18.3% PUNDIXUSD, MVUSD, ALICEUSD, GTCUSD, ARPAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.011000.00366 +0.00735
KRLUSD 0.009890.00257 +0.00732
ROOKUSD 0.010720.00410 +0.00662
ZILUSD 0.012060.00582 +0.00624
XDCUSD 0.008630.00320 +0.00543

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.002200.00728 -0.00508
SWEATUSD 0.003240.00805 -0.00482
INVUSD 0.003230.00793 -0.00471
ASMUSD 0.002580.00623 -0.00365
CFGUSD 0.003020.00631 -0.00329

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 12.01× the influence of an average node across 702 pairs.

pairs
702
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.327
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01711 12.01× 2.7% 0.6% HKDMYR, INRMYR, ZARMYR, DKKRUB
EUROMR 2 0.00831 5.83× 1.6% 0.7% ZARPKR, PKRZAR, COPCLP, CLPCOP, USDMXN
XAUGBP 3 0.00787 5.52× 3.4% 1.3% XAGZAR, XAGTRY, XAUINR, XAGINR, XAUJPY
HUFPLN 4 0.00726 5.10× 0.7% 0.1% MXNUSD
TRYPLN 5 0.00652 4.58× 1.7% 0.6% PLNMXN, ILSCAD, JPYNOK, MXNPLN
MXNUSD 6 0.00650 4.56× 0.3% 0.7% MXNSGD, CADMXN, MXNCAD, RUBCHF, AUDILS
HKDMYR 7 0.00609 4.28× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
MXNPLN 8 0.00604 4.24× 2.0% 1.1% AUDHUF, NZDMXN, AUDTRY, ILSCAD, GBPHUF
INRMYR 9 0.00600 4.21× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
AEDNZD 10 0.00585 4.11× 3.7% 2.0% THBNZD, INRAUD, GBPTHB, NZDINR, RUBNOK

Rising influence vs 2024-02-06

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.017110.00214 +0.01497
EUROMR 0.008310.00045 +0.00786
HUFPLN 0.007260.00082 +0.00644
MXNUSD 0.006500.00049 +0.00601
HKDMYR 0.006090.00027 +0.00583

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURLKR 0.000930.00647 -0.00554
USDPGK 0.000770.00620 -0.00542
IDRJPY 0.000790.00616 -0.00537
ZARRON 0.000480.00572 -0.00524
THBNZD 0.001280.00560 -0.00432

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.