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Daily network digest

Tuesday, February 6, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.47× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.196
Clustering
0.410
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01021 3.47× 58.7% 36.3% DEXTUSD, FLRUSD, APTUSD, LSKUSD, RARIUSD
MVUSD 2 0.00855 2.91× 54.3% 21.5% NMRUSD, CROUSD, JASMYUSD, ETH2XUSD, 1INCHUSD
SWEATUSD 3 0.00805 2.74× 46.6% 27.1% CHEXUSD, CVXUSD, RPLUSD, METISUSD, ANTUSD
RPLUSD 4 0.00800 2.72× 49.6% 11.5% BTRSTUSD, AVTUSD, SGBUSD, WAMPLUSD, FLRUSD
INVUSD 5 0.00793 2.70× 45.4% 19.2% TRXUSD, PONDUSD, FORTUSD, BTRSTUSD, THETAUSD
XLMUSD 6 0.00763 2.59× 44.2% 23.6% ALEPHUSD, RBCUSD, XRTUSD, RAYUSD, TRXUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00742 2.52× 51.6% 24.8% INVUSD, CLVUSD, BICOUSD, PNKUSD, QIUSD
ABTUSD 8 0.00739 2.51× 48.4% 19.2% INVUSD, STGUSD, FOXUSD, COMPUSD, NCTUSD
GARIUSD 9 0.00735 2.50× 46.0% 36.6% EWTUSD, ICPUSD, KP3RUSD, CTSIUSD, UNIUSD
AIRUSD 10 0.00728 2.48× 41.0% 32.7% CVXUSD, BALUSD, RADUSD, BICOUSD, ETHAUD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010210.00354 +0.00667
XLMUSD 0.007630.00185 +0.00579
INVUSD 0.007930.00369 +0.00424
SRMUSD 0.007060.00295 +0.00411
KINUSD 0.006920.00313 +0.00379

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002590.00742 -0.00483
CTXUSD 0.002950.00672 -0.00377
BTCJPY 0.002900.00651 -0.00361
KILTUSD 0.001550.00508 -0.00352
EULUSD 0.003040.00654 -0.00350

Foreign exchange

AEDNZD was the most central name, carrying 5.62× the influence of an average node across 711 pairs.

pairs
711
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.326
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEDNZD 1 0.00790 5.62× 3.9% 1.5% SGDTRY, TRYSGD, CADTRY, TRYDKK, AUDMAD
XAGARS 2 0.00702 4.99× 3.5% 0.6% XAUGBP, XAUBRL, XAGBRL, XAUZAR
EURLKR 3 0.00647 4.60× 0.8% 0.1% IDRJPY
XAUGBP 4 0.00643 4.57× 2.3% 0.8% XAGARS, XAGUSD, XAGKRW, XAGAUD, XAURUB
USDPGK 5 0.00620 4.41× 5.4% 1.3% ALLGBP, USDALL, HTGGBP, LKRGBP, GBPLKR
IDRJPY 6 0.00616 4.38× 0.3% 0.1% EURLKR
ZARRON 7 0.00572 4.07× 1.1% 0.8% USDNZD, CZKZAR, ZARCZK, RUBUSD, SEKILS
CADTRY 8 0.00564 4.01× 2.1% 1.1% ILSUSD, JODILS, RUBNOK, ILSAED, ILSPLN
THBNZD 9 0.00560 3.98× 1.4% 0.1% AEDNZD
ILSPLN 10 0.00545 3.88× 4.2% 1.7% GBPKWD, HUFEUR, BRLCOP, GBPOMR, DKKTRY

Rising influence vs 2024-02-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AEDNZD 0.007900.00219 +0.00572
THBNZD 0.005600.00025 +0.00534
CADTRY 0.005640.00066 +0.00498
IDRJPY 0.006160.00163 +0.00453
ZARRON 0.005720.00148 +0.00424

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.002140.01643 -0.01429
PKRJPY 0.000720.00946 -0.00874
NOKSEK 0.000690.00514 -0.00445
USDKZT 0.000600.00499 -0.00439
XAGZAR 0.000500.00486 -0.00436

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.