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Daily network digest

Monday, February 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ABTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.33× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.203
Clustering
0.424
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ABTUSD 1 0.00979 3.33× 54.9% 14.5% EOSUSD, PLUUSD, RPLUSD, API3USD, EULUSD
TIMEUSD 2 0.00822 2.79× 49.3% 38.6% LINKUSD, IOTXUSD, AURORAUSD, ORNUSD, RARIUSD
NANOUSD 3 0.00788 2.68× 48.4% 16.8% ANTUSD, XRPAUD, PLAUSD, MASKUSD, ORCAEUR
MVUSD 4 0.00756 2.57× 49.0% 23.3% LCXUSD, UNIUSD, PRQUSD, OXTUSD, ALEPHUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00749 2.55× 44.8% 30.1% SUKUUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, AIRUSD, RARIUSD
RARIUSD 6 0.00742 2.52× 46.0% 13.6% BITUSD, NANOUSD, GNOUSD, ABTUSD, ETHAUD
ASMUSD 7 0.00688 2.34× 46.0% 26.3% ARPAUSD, IDEXUSD, TRUUSD, MASKUSD, BCHNUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.00676 2.30× 41.9% 33.6% RARIEUR, OPUSD, DEXTUSD, IMXUSD, LITUSD
CTXUSD 9 0.00672 2.28× 42.5% 24.8% SCRTUSD, BLZUSD, REQUSD, XTZUSD, NKNUSD
EULUSD 10 0.00654 2.22× 40.7% 19.2% CHEXUSD, CHRUSD, WAXLUSD, LUNAUSD, UOSUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NANOUSD 0.007880.00286 +0.00502
ASMUSD 0.006880.00251 +0.00437
ABTUSD 0.009790.00569 +0.00410
XRDUSD 0.006760.00281 +0.00395
RARIUSD 0.007420.00355 +0.00387

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.005360.01240 -0.00705
ASTUSD 0.004220.01061 -0.00639
KRLUSD 0.004210.00966 -0.00546
BTRSTUSD 0.003540.00799 -0.00445
MDTUSD 0.001960.00633 -0.00437

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 11.42× the influence of an average node across 695 pairs.

pairs
695
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.337
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01643 11.42× 3.2% 1.2% DKKRUB, INRMYR, CADMYR, THBMYR, HKDMYR
PKRJPY 2 0.00946 6.58× 1.6% 0.1% NZDPKR
NZDPKR 3 0.00828 5.75× 0.3% 0.1% PKRJPY
USDPGK 4 0.00621 4.31× 6.2% 1.2% GBPSCR, AEDSEK, DKKAED, USDDOP, USDRWF
XAUMXN 5 0.00599 4.16× 3.2% 2.2% XAUEUR, XAGZAR, XAGAUD, XAUKRW, XAGKRW
KWDGBP 6 0.00536 3.73× 3.6% 1.4% GBPBHD, ILSJOD, GBPOMR, SGDNOK, RUBNOK
QARZAR 7 0.00535 3.72× 1.6% 1.2% XPFGBP, AUDILS, MYRZAR, RONZAR, SEKRUB
USDRUB 8 0.00521 3.62× 1.2% 0.6% EURBIF, EURHTG, EURGYD, EURKZT
XAGARS 9 0.00517 3.59× 2.6% 0.9% XAURUB, XAUMXN, XAUZAR, XAUINR, XAUSAR
NOKSEK 10 0.00514 3.57× 0.6% 0.7% RUBJPY, RUBGBP, JPYRUB, RUBKRW, KRWRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-02-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.016430.00234 +0.01409
PKRJPY 0.009460.00050 +0.00897
NZDPKR 0.008280.00028 +0.00800
USDKZT 0.004990.00028 +0.00471
NOKSEK 0.005140.00072 +0.00442

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
THBNZD 0.000250.00822 -0.00796
IDRJPY 0.001630.00832 -0.00669
SEKILS 0.000460.00613 -0.00567
RUBSEK 0.002350.00744 -0.00509
EURLKR 0.004600.00940 -0.00480

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.