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Daily network digest

Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.89× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.189
Clustering
0.401
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01148 3.89× 60.4% 35.5% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, KP3RUSD, FLRUSD, WILDUSD
MVUSD 2 0.00959 3.25× 56.8% 21.6% TRXUSD, C98USD, BANDUSD, NCTUSD, DVFUSD
INVUSD 3 0.00797 2.70× 43.5% 16.0% TRXUSD, PONDUSD, FORTUSD, BOSONUSD, BTRSTUSD
RPLUSD 4 0.00763 2.59× 45.9% 14.5% BCHEUR, AVTUSD, FLRUSD, SGBUSD, WAMPLUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00762 2.58× 52.7% 23.1% INVUSD, CLVUSD, XRDUSD, ALCXUSD, PNKUSD
AIRUSD 6 0.00737 2.50× 41.7% 29.3% BALUSD, CVXUSD, ETHAUD, RADUSD, APEUSD
SWEATUSD 7 0.00733 2.48× 43.2% 23.7% CHEXUSD, CVXUSD, DENTUSD, RPLUSD, ANTUSD
SRMUSD 8 0.00726 2.46× 44.1% 18.0% ICPUSD, SNTUSD, XLMUSD, ZRXUSD, ZENUSD
ASMUSD 9 0.00692 2.34× 41.7% 39.3% APEUSD, LINKUSD, HBARUSD, FXUSD, RAREUSD
GARIUSD 10 0.00690 2.34× 45.0% 27.2% EWTUSD, KP3RUSD, CTSIUSD, ICPUSD, LSKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-01-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011480.00380 +0.00769
INVUSD 0.007970.00330 +0.00467
SRMUSD 0.007260.00269 +0.00457
XLMUSD 0.006450.00193 +0.00452
DNTUSD 0.006870.00293 +0.00394

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002900.00721 -0.00431
KILTUSD 0.001810.00535 -0.00354
QTFUSD 0.002340.00548 -0.00314
KARUSD 0.001880.00493 -0.00305
WAMPLUSD 0.002100.00506 -0.00295

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 11.47× the influence of an average node across 713 pairs.

pairs
713
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.343
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01608 11.47× 2.5% 0.6% HKDMYR, INRMYR, DKKRUB, ZARMYR
XAUGBP 2 0.00861 6.14× 3.4% 1.5% XAGTRY, XAGZAR, XAGINR, XAUINR, XAUJPY
EUROMR 3 0.00748 5.34× 2.8% 0.4% INRZAR, USDMXN, PLNHUF
USDALL 4 0.00658 4.69× 6.5% 5.5% LKRGBP, GBPLKR, EURBHD, NZDAED, NZDCNY
HKDMYR 5 0.00563 4.01× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
INRMYR 6 0.00548 3.90× 0.7% 0.1% ZARIDR
USDGHS 7 0.00524 3.74× 5.9% 3.2% JPYRSD, EURFJD, ARSCHF, MXNBRL, USDTJS
TRYPLN 8 0.00521 3.71× 1.5% 0.4% ILSCAD, PLNMXN, MXNPLN
SEKILS 9 0.00493 3.51× 3.9% 2.2% SEKUSD, DKKNZD, MXNZAR, MXNAUD, AUDMXN
ILSCAD 10 0.00486 3.46× 1.1% 1.0% ZARNZD, HKDNZD, NZDPLN, CADCHF, CHFSEK

Rising influence vs 2024-01-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.016080.00202 +0.01407
EUROMR 0.007480.00175 +0.00574
HKDMYR 0.005630.00028 +0.00535
INRMYR 0.005480.00028 +0.00520
MXNPLN 0.004810.00069 +0.00412

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
THBNZD 0.000900.00748 -0.00658
ZARPHP 0.000860.00647 -0.00561
RUBSEK 0.001870.00666 -0.00479
XAGARS 0.002860.00748 -0.00462
USDDJF 0.002680.00638 -0.00370

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.