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Daily network digest

Tuesday, January 30, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ABTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.23× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.195
Clustering
0.414
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ABTUSD 1 0.00950 3.23× 52.2% 13.9% EOSUSD, RPLUSD, CHZUSD, PLUUSD, API3USD
TIMEUSD 2 0.00889 3.02× 49.0% 36.9% LINKUSD, FORTUSD, XTZUSD, ORNUSD, STGUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00807 2.74× 44.5% 21.8% ELAUSD, BNTUSD, SUKUUSD, AIRUSD, XCNUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00745 2.53× 42.8% 24.5% TRXUSD, TIMEUSD, XTZUSD, CHREUR, COMPUSD
NANOUSD 5 0.00745 2.53× 43.4% 17.4% ANTUSD, ORCAEUR, PLAUSD, ORNUSD, ETCUSD
MVUSD 6 0.00728 2.47× 46.3% 19.8% ALEPHUSD, BICOUSD, LCXUSD, UNIUSD, OXTUSD
RARIUSD 7 0.00721 2.45× 43.4% 14.7% NANOUSD, BITUSD, ETHAUD, ABTUSD, BTTUSD
GSTUSD 8 0.00704 2.39× 41.6% 23.0% ABTUSD, LUNAUSD, ATOMUSD, PNGUSD, PROUSD
XRDUSD 9 0.00689 2.34× 42.2% 29.8% OPUSD, RARIEUR, DEXTUSD, REPUSD, ETHWUSD
SUKUUSD 10 0.00677 2.30× 42.8% 20.6% EWTUSD, ZILUSD, DOGEUSD, SNXUSD, EULUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-01-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NANOUSD 0.007450.00259 +0.00486
TIMEUSD 0.008890.00468 +0.00421
ASMUSD 0.006490.00251 +0.00398
XRDUSD 0.006890.00291 +0.00398
ABTUSD 0.009500.00554 +0.00397

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.005380.01350 -0.00812
ASTUSD 0.004680.01077 -0.00609
KRLUSD 0.004030.00940 -0.00537
PROUSD 0.003350.00781 -0.00445
BTRSTUSD 0.003800.00816 -0.00436

Foreign exchange

XAGARS was the most central name, carrying 5.26× the influence of an average node across 703 pairs.

pairs
703
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.329
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAGARS 1 0.00748 5.26× 3.8% 0.6% XAUGBP, XAUBRL, XAGBRL, CADRUB
THBNZD 2 0.00748 5.26× 1.7% 1.4% NZDTHB, AEDNZD, GBPMDL, MDLGBP, DKKAED
SEKILS 3 0.00687 4.83× 4.3% 2.1% MXNJPY, MXNZAR, DKKNZD, JPYMXN, NOKUSD
RUBSEK 4 0.00666 4.68× 1.7% 1.6% KRWNZD, INRNZD, ZARSEK, ZARMXN, PENCOP
ARSZAR 5 0.00659 4.63× 9.8% 2.4% GHSGBP, GBPLKR, ZARGHS, GHSZAR, GBPGHS
ZARPHP 6 0.00647 4.55× 1.3% 0.7% ZARINR, ARSEUR, COPBRL, THBEUR, MYRTHB
USDDJF 7 0.00638 4.48× 0.7% 0.4% AUDZAR, HKDZAR, CNYZAR
XAUGBP 8 0.00629 4.42× 2.3% 0.9% XAGKRW, XAGARS, XAGAUD, XAGUSD, XAURUB
ZARARS 9 0.00592 4.16× 8.5% 2.0% USDPGK, GBPGHS, LKRGBP, GHSGBP, GBPLKR
USDRUB 10 0.00549 3.86× 0.6% 0.3% EURUZS, EURCDF

Rising influence vs 2024-01-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
THBNZD 0.007480.00027 +0.00721
ZARPHP 0.006470.00105 +0.00542
USDRUB 0.005490.00034 +0.00514
SEKILS 0.006870.00183 +0.00504
ARSZAR 0.006590.00174 +0.00485

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.002020.01710 -0.01508
PHPJPY 0.000280.00555 -0.00527
EUROMR 0.001750.00627 -0.00452
ZARTWD 0.000550.00499 -0.00445
SEKRUB 0.001500.00569 -0.00419

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.