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Daily network digest

Thursday, January 25, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.71× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.195
Clustering
0.410
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01096 3.71× 62.1% 36.1% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, FLRUSD, WILDUSD, KP3RUSD
MVUSD 2 0.00956 3.24× 57.4% 16.3% TRXUSD, VETUSD, C98USD, NCTUSD, NMRUSD
AIRUSD 3 0.00846 2.87× 47.6% 30.8% ETHAUD, CVXUSD, BALUSD, RADUSD, ENJUSD
ASMUSD 4 0.00768 2.60× 44.4% 38.5% APEUSD, LINKUSD, ORCAEUR, FXUSD, MKRUSD
SRMUSD 5 0.00758 2.57× 46.4% 19.5% ICPUSD, ZRXUSD, BICOUSD, ZENUSD, SNTUSD
SWEATUSD 6 0.00754 2.56× 47.6% 24.6% CHEXUSD, METISUSD, DENTUSD, PYRUSD, KINTUSD
OXYUSD 7 0.00744 2.52× 39.9% 31.4% ORCAEUR, ROOKUSD, BATUSD, AERGOUSD, EWTUSD
RPLUSD 8 0.00736 2.49× 47.0% 19.2% AVTUSD, BCHEUR, SGBUSD, PONDUSD, BTRSTUSD
DNTUSD 9 0.00706 2.39× 46.2% 36.7% DOTUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, REQUSD, MXCUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00697 2.36× 50.3% 16.0% INVUSD, CLVUSD, GFIUSD, XRDUSD, PNKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-01-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010960.00341 +0.00755
SRMUSD 0.007580.00279 +0.00479
AIRUSD 0.008460.00403 +0.00444
DNTUSD 0.007060.00282 +0.00424
XLMUSD 0.006130.00196 +0.00417

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002760.00743 -0.00467
QTFUSD 0.001990.00560 -0.00361
WAMPLUSD 0.001900.00531 -0.00341
EULUSD 0.002900.00606 -0.00316
ABTUSD 0.006550.00968 -0.00314

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 9.52× the influence of an average node across 700 pairs.

pairs
700
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.326
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01360 9.52× 2.3% 0.9% DKKRUB, INRMYR, HKDMYR, CADMYR, THBMYR
XAUMXN 2 0.00792 5.55× 3.4% 1.7% XAUEUR, XAGAUD, XAGKRW, XAUKRW, XAGZAR
USDPGK 3 0.00649 4.54× 6.6% 1.9% PENUSD, CADPEN, NGNUSD, USDDOP, MXNCLP
ZARNGN 4 0.00588 4.12× 2.9% 2.0% CLPPEN, COPCLP, NOKRUB, PLNJPY, USDNOK
XAGARS 5 0.00546 3.82× 2.4% 0.9% XAUMXN, XAURUB, XAUZAR, XAUINR, XAUSAR
CNYZAR 6 0.00528 3.70× 6.6% 5.9% RWFZAR, ZARRWF, UGXZAR, ZARARS, ZARUGX
XAUGBP 7 0.00524 3.67× 3.4% 0.3% XAUMXN, XAGTRY
NOKAED 8 0.00516 3.61× 4.3% 2.6% ARSAUD, ARSGBP, ARSHKD, HKDARS, KWDGBP
EURCOP 9 0.00504 3.53× 1.7% 0.7% EURHTG, EURPEN, PENEUR, EURMDL, IDRJPY
ARSUSD 10 0.00493 3.45× 1.1% 0.4% BRLEUR, AUDZAR, NZDZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-01-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUMXN 0.007920.00229 +0.00563
USDPGK 0.006490.00125 +0.00524
ZARNGN 0.005880.00192 +0.00396
USDNOK 0.004450.00056 +0.00389
MXNBRL 0.004130.00113 +0.00300

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDMAD 0.000640.00526 -0.00462
JPYRSD 0.000540.00505 -0.00451
EURTHB 0.001150.00536 -0.00421
JPYRUB 0.001540.00497 -0.00344
CHFPKR 0.001490.00465 -0.00316

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.