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Daily network digest

Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ABTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.29× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.193
Clustering
0.411
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ABTUSD 1 0.00968 3.29× 51.6% 8.3% CHZUSD, EOSUSD, RPLUSD, API3USD, GSTUSD
TIMEUSD 2 0.00887 3.02× 51.0% 33.6% LINKUSD, ORNUSD, AURORAUSD, GNOUSD, STGUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.00824 2.80× 44.2% 20.1% AIRUSD, ELAUSD, BNTUSD, SUKUUSD, PROUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00772 2.62× 45.4% 23.6% CHREUR, TRXUSD, TIMEUSD, WAVESUSD, MASKUSD
RARIUSD 5 0.00743 2.53× 45.7% 17.4% NANOUSD, ETHAUD, ABTUSD, ZILUSD, GNOUSD
MVUSD 6 0.00728 2.48× 44.0% 15.0% LCXUSD, ALEPHUSD, OXTUSD, BICOUSD, UNIUSD
NANOUSD 7 0.00708 2.41× 41.9% 17.1% ANTUSD, ORCAEUR, ORNUSD, TIMEUSD, ETCUSD
XRDUSD 8 0.00701 2.38× 41.3% 25.1% OPUSD, DEXTUSD, QTUMUSD, YFIUSD, REPUSD
SUKUUSD 9 0.00653 2.22× 42.5% 18.9% XRDUSD, ZILUSD, EWTUSD, QNTUSD, STXUSD
HOPRUSD 10 0.00640 2.18× 41.9% 26.0% IOTUSD, DESOUSD, LUNAUSD, KRLUSD, AERGOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-01-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NANOUSD 0.007080.00287 +0.00422
ABTUSD 0.009680.00547 +0.00421
XRDUSD 0.007010.00281 +0.00420
TIMEUSD 0.008870.00467 +0.00420
RARIUSD 0.007430.00353 +0.00390

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.005700.01333 -0.00763
ASTUSD 0.004840.01096 -0.00612
KRLUSD 0.004300.00920 -0.00490
PROUSD 0.003100.00775 -0.00465
DNTUSD 0.002820.00747 -0.00465

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 7.85× the influence of an average node across 710 pairs.

pairs
710
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.341
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01106 7.85× 2.1% 0.4% INRMYR, HKDMYR, DKKRUB
XAUGBP 2 0.00736 5.22× 3.5% 1.6% XAGTRY, XAGINR, XAUINR, XAGZAR, XAGRUB
USDGHS 3 0.00554 3.93× 5.9% 2.8% JPYRSD, EURFJD, GBPZMW, AUDBRL, ZARGHS
CADRUB 4 0.00551 3.91× 3.1% 0.7% GBPRUB, NZDCZK, AUDTRY, DKKJPY, NZDTWD
USDALL 5 0.00551 3.91× 5.6% 4.8% GBPLKR, LKRGBP, NZDAED, EURBHD, NZDCNY
GBPRUB 6 0.00544 3.86× 1.3% 1.0% JPYGBP, CZKNOK, JPYDKK, NZDHUF, JPYNOK
EURTHB 7 0.00536 3.81× 1.7% 0.3% AUDZAR, NZDZAR
AUDMAD 8 0.00526 3.74× 2.4% 1.0% HUFZAR, CHFPKR, MADAUD, USDPLN, SGDTRY
JPYRSD 9 0.00505 3.59× 3.4% 1.7% BHDEUR, USDALL, USDLYD, AEDEUR, JPYSAR
JPYRUB 10 0.00497 3.53× 2.0% 0.3% ZARIDR, DKKRUB

Rising influence vs 2024-01-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.011060.00609 +0.00497
EURTHB 0.005360.00043 +0.00493
INRMYR 0.004240.00031 +0.00393
HKDMYR 0.004220.00031 +0.00391
TRYPLN 0.004420.00067 +0.00376

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IDRZAR 0.001270.00966 -0.00839
DKKRUB 0.003360.00821 -0.00485
CHFCLP 0.001140.00587 -0.00473
XAGUSD 0.000250.00420 -0.00395
GBPTHB 0.000730.00457 -0.00384

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.