catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XMRUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.47× the influence of an average node across 342 assets.

assets
342
Density
0.155
Clustering
0.382
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XMRUSD 1 0.01306 4.47× 60.1% 16.1% ALCXUSD, MATHUSD, PHAUSD, ICPUSD, XAUTUSD
STGUSD 2 0.01233 4.22× 62.8% 20.2% SKYUSD, BNTUSD, MEUSD, RENUSD, AKTEUR
AERGOUSD 3 0.01135 3.88× 56.6% 15.8% PONDUSD, PRCLUSD, XAUTUSD, RSRUSD, XMRUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.01020 3.49× 49.9% 15.2% GSTUSD, SHDWUSD, ELAUSD, OCEANUSD, RENUSD
ZEXUSD 5 0.00991 3.39× 55.4% 24.6% ABTUSD, POLUSD, STXUSD, ARKMUSD, NANOUSD
XAUTUSD 6 0.00969 3.31× 52.5% 15.0% LIFIIIUSD, INDEXUSD, LSKUSD, MLNUSD, HNTUSD
UNFIUSD 7 0.00931 3.18× 48.1% 35.8% SCUSD, JASMYUSD, FXSUSD, ENSUSD, GALAUSD
FXSUSD 8 0.00823 2.81× 44.9% 9.4% APTUSD, TONUSD, ALTUSD, BICOUSD, LRCUSD
GSTUSD 9 0.00803 2.75× 37.5% 16.4% XMRUSD, RLCUSD, XAUTUSD, RARIEUR, WEUR
FISUSD 10 0.00799 2.73× 44.6% 13.2% CTXUSD, XAUTUSD, LTCBTC, PAXGUSD, BATUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-10-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
STGUSD 0.012330.00364 +0.00869
XMRUSD 0.013060.00614 +0.00692
AERGOUSD 0.011350.00477 +0.00657
GSTUSD 0.008030.00227 +0.00576
ACSUSD 0.007300.00193 +0.00537

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
MLNUSD 0.003240.01174 -0.00850
GOMININGUSD 0.002540.00833 -0.00579
ELAUSD 0.003700.00895 -0.00525
FISUSD 0.007990.01231 -0.00432
KNCUSD 0.002550.00682 -0.00426

Foreign exchange

USDEGP was the most central name, carrying 9.69× the influence of an average node across 551 pairs.

pairs
551
Density
0.032
Clustering
0.369
Diameter
—

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDEGP 1 0.01758 9.69× 9.5% 1.8% ZARINR, ZARTRY, SEKINR, NOKINR, ZARMYR
KRWTHB 2 0.00909 5.01× 6.0% 1.5% THBINR, XAUEUR, XAUINR, JPYINR, CHFINR
XAGARS 3 0.00770 4.25× 6.5% 6.7% LKRZAR, AEDZAR, OMRZAR, EGPZAR, ZMWZAR
XAUJPY 4 0.00757 4.17× 7.6% 7.5% RUBCAD, MXNBRL, ARSCHF, KRWTHB, USDDOP
TZSZAR 5 0.00727 4.01× 11.8% 11.8% ZARAED, KRWINR, LKRZAR, ZARTRY, ZARSGD
XAUEUR 6 0.00691 3.81× 10.5% 5.1% USDKHR, KRWTHB, DKKRUB, AEDJPY, THBINR
LKRZAR 7 0.00670 3.69× 15.8% 8.7% ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARNGN, SEKINR, KRWINR
AEDZAR 8 0.00666 3.67× 10.2% 9.1% ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARNGN, SEKINR, ZARHKD
COPMXN 9 0.00661 3.64× 9.1% 3.3% BRLKRW, HUFUSD, BRLPEN, ZAREGP, XAUEUR
XAUMXN 10 0.00653 3.60× 10.2% 7.6% KRWTHB, AEDJPY, USDKHR, ZARUSD, DKKRUB

Rising influence vs 2026-10-19

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.017580.00387 +0.01372
KRWTHB 0.009090.00240 +0.00668
XAGARS 0.007700.00212 +0.00558
TZSZAR 0.007270.00234 +0.00493
AEDZAR 0.006660.00186 +0.00480

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.003760.01321 -0.00945
ZARJPY 0.000560.00709 -0.00653
ZARHKD 0.001560.00796 -0.00640
USDMUR 0.002310.00851 -0.00620
EGPZAR 0.001980.00794 -0.00596

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.