catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Friday, July 31, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

BIP was the most central name, carrying 3.47× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.176
Clustering
0.450
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BIP 1 0.00232 3.47× 33.1% 18.9% HOMB, AFG, IDA, BATRA, EMA
CB 2 0.00224 3.36× 33.9% 15.9% LAMR, KRG, CMS, MSA, BIP
BRK.B 3 0.00204 3.05× 26.3% 17.9% CB, DTM, MAA, STN, ARLP
SCHW 4 0.00198 2.96× 37.3% 15.5% AME, L, MCD, WRB, POST
ALL 5 0.00197 2.95× 34.7% 19.9% AVB, EXC, EVRG, CPT, USB
PEN 6 0.00196 2.93× 31.2% 21.4% CFR, AEE, EQIX, AES, SBRA
AGNC 7 0.00195 2.91× 30.5% 16.4% MPLX, CM, CPT, WTM, BRX
RY 8 0.00190 2.84× 28.0% 11.9% ES, JPM, ET, TPR, VMC
WTM 9 0.00189 2.82× 32.5% 18.3% CL, SEIC, PFG, BRK.B, BPOP
WRB 10 0.00188 2.81× 24.9% 15.9% MKL, REG, BPOP, CNS, PFG

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
ORLA 0.9708
RIOT 0.9674 13.06%
CORZ 0.9666 12.46%
CLSK 0.9600 11.74%
COHR 0.9594 9.60%
CRDO 0.9590 8.60%
RDDT 0.9565 11.46%
MU 0.9543 11.14%
IREN 0.9521 15.73%
BMNR 0.9506 8.29%

Rising influence vs 2026-07-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
FTI 0.001440.00010 +0.00134
LBRDK 0.001420.00010 +0.00132
JXN 0.001410.00010 +0.00131
MMM 0.001410.00010 +0.00131
ARLP 0.001390.00010 +0.00129

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BHF 0.001570.00297 -0.00139
CSW 0.000100.00131 -0.00121
CF 0.000100.00130 -0.00120
AXP 0.000100.00128 -0.00118
ALGN 0.000100.00127 -0.00117

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.86× the influence of an average node across 362 assets.

assets
362
Density
0.142
Clustering
0.365
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02171 7.86× 80.3% 24.1% EWTUSD, RAREUSD, HFTUSD, BONKUSD, POLISUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01917 6.94× 75.3% 21.3% RAREUSD, KEYUSD, BLURUSD, BONKUSD, ZRXUSD
AERGOUSD 3 0.00968 3.50× 49.9% 15.8% XAUTUSD, RSRUSD, CFGUSD, LEOUSD, KP3RUSD
SBRUSD 4 0.00866 3.13× 41.6% 23.3% UNFIUSD, HFTUSD, TRXUSD, ILVUSD, BCHEUR
RARIEUR 5 0.00809 2.93× 38.8% 30.2% SHDWUSD, OXTUSD, SAMOUSD, GSTUSD, ETHUSD
SGBUSD 6 0.00796 2.88× 39.3% 23.8% ARBUSD, STRKUSD, SAMOUSD, GTCUSD, SWELLUSD
SKYUSD 7 0.00783 2.83× 38.5% 18.8% AXLUSD, GTCUSD, LCXUSD, VOXELUSD, NKNUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00768 2.78× 46.5% 5.5% PRIMEUSD, PAXGUSD, UNFIUSD, ELAUSD, CPOOLUSD
ZROUSD 9 0.00758 2.74× 35.5% 11.9% MULTIUSD, BICOUSD, SYRUPUSD, ICXUSD, SGBUSD
CQTUSD 10 0.00758 2.74× 37.4% 32.7% C98USD, KASUSD, IDEXUSD, TRACUSD, VTHOUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-07-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
CQTUSD 0.007580.00227 +0.00531
SBRUSD 0.008660.00401 +0.00465
XRPBTC 0.007320.00275 +0.00457
LTCBTC 0.007680.00339 +0.00429
C98USD 0.005920.00198 +0.00394

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
REQUSD 0.002100.01104 -0.00894
GOMININGUSD 0.002250.01058 -0.00833
AURORAUSD 0.002780.00883 -0.00605
KNCUSD 0.002190.00763 -0.00544
LEOUSD 0.002650.00800 -0.00535

Foreign exchange

USDEGP was the most central name, carrying 12.32× the influence of an average node across 549 pairs.

pairs
549
Density
0.035
Clustering
0.393
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDEGP 1 0.02244 12.32× 8.4% 2.0% SEKINR, NOKINR, ZARTRY, ZARINR, INRSEK
ARSCOP 2 0.00947 5.20× 4.4% 2.9% LRDGBP, CDFGBP, BWPCHF, CDFUSD, GBPCDF
TZSZAR 3 0.00853 4.68× 11.9% 12.2% KRWINR, ZARAED, ZARTRY, LKRZAR, ZARSGD
KRWTHB 4 0.00837 4.60× 5.8% 1.3% THBINR, XAUEUR, XAUINR, XAUJPY, CHFINR
LKRZAR 5 0.00727 3.99× 16.6% 9.3% ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARNGN, KRWINR, SEKINR
NADUSD 6 0.00712 3.91× 6.2% 2.0% MXNPEN, UYUGBP, GBPUYU, CLPMXN, COPCLP
XAUMXN 7 0.00695 3.82× 10.2% 7.5% USDSCR, RUBCAD, KRWTHB, GBPRUB, XAGEUR
CHFRUB 8 0.00651 3.57× 10.8% 4.0% XAUINR, GBPPEN, PENGBP, XAUJPY, PENCAD
COPCAD 9 0.00639 3.51× 5.8% 4.7% USDUGX, PENCLP, CLPCNY, USDUYU, GBPUGX
RUBUSD 10 0.00630 3.46× 12.2% 7.7% XAURUB, USDBRL, XAUBRL, JPYBRL, HUFPLN

Rising influence vs 2026-07-30

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.022440.00327 +0.01917
ARSCOP 0.009470.00169 +0.00779
TZSZAR 0.008530.00234 +0.00619
KRWTHB 0.008370.00272 +0.00565
SEKINR 0.005420.00065 +0.00478

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.004390.01271 -0.00831
EGPZAR 0.002060.00788 -0.00582
ZARNGN 0.003150.00877 -0.00562
ARSAUD 0.001630.00713 -0.00550
USDMUR 0.002010.00697 -0.00495

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.