catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering US equities, Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: US equities · Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

US equities

BIP was the most central name, carrying 3.51× the influence of an average node across 1495 stocks.

stocks
1495
Density
0.175
Clustering
0.447
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BIP 1 0.00235 3.51× 33.3% 18.9% BATRA, HOMB, HIG, AFG, EMA
BRK.B 2 0.00213 3.19× 26.8% 16.9% DTM, L, STN, ARLP, MDT
SCHW 3 0.00204 3.04× 38.5% 14.6% L, AME, CMS, NMIH, SYK
CB 4 0.00200 2.99× 32.1% 16.5% LAMR, PEN, KRG, MSA, CMS
AGNC 5 0.00199 2.98× 29.5% 16.1% MPLX, CM, CPT, EA, WTM
DTM 6 0.00197 2.94× 31.3% 17.3% WEC, WAB, AGNC, UBSI, AES
PEN 7 0.00189 2.83× 30.2% 20.3% CFR, AEE, UGI, AES, EQIX
RY 8 0.00189 2.83× 27.9% 11.5% JPM, VMC, ES, TPR, BPOP
WTM 9 0.00187 2.80× 32.4% 19.1% PFG, SEIC, BRK.B, CL, BPOP
AM 10 0.00184 2.75× 33.9% 15.1% AVA, PEN, WSBC, MCD, SCHW

Volatility watch

Highest modelled probability of elevated volatility ahead. A research output, not a directional call.

SymbolScore Recent volatility
AAOI 0.9782 5.40%
NBIS 0.9775 7.91%
AMKR 0.9764 11.97%
BE 0.9757 7.69%
SNDK 0.9727 7.55%
IREN 0.9702 3.79%
COHR 0.9694 5.10%
VSH 0.9673 5.97%
MXL 0.9669 11.36%
ALAB 0.9648 5.85%

Rising influence vs 2026-07-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
LAUR 0.001430.00010 +0.00133
NPO 0.001420.00010 +0.00132
APO 0.001400.00010 +0.00130
AMTM 0.001390.00010 +0.00129
PFSI 0.001390.00010 +0.00129

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
IONS 0.000100.00137 -0.00127
AEP 0.000850.00211 -0.00126
Z 0.000100.00133 -0.00123
MRK 0.000100.00131 -0.00121
IVZ 0.000100.00128 -0.00118

Cryptocurrency

XAUTUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.69× the influence of an average node across 362 assets.

assets
362
Density
0.138
Clustering
0.367
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUTUSD 1 0.02124 7.69× 78.1% 24.4% RAREUSD, BONKUSD, POLISUSD, ACAUSD, MLNUSD
PAXGUSD 2 0.01873 6.78× 75.9% 21.3% RAREUSD, BONKUSD, KEYUSD, ORCAUSD, HFTUSD
AERGOUSD 3 0.01018 3.69× 50.4% 16.3% XAUTUSD, LEOUSD, PONDUSD, CFGUSD, RSRUSD
SBRUSD 4 0.00904 3.27× 42.9% 26.6% HFTUSD, TRXUSD, UNFIUSD, ILVUSD, EWTUSD
SUKUUSD 5 0.00838 3.03× 41.8% 20.8% EWTUSD, APEUSD, TURBOUSD, IDEXUSD, NEARUSD
MNGOUSD 6 0.00791 2.86× 39.1% 44.0% OPUSD, ACAUSD, DOTUSD, PROUSD, BICOUSD
FISUSD 7 0.00776 2.81× 38.2% 8.0% BICOUSD, TONUSD, ACAUSD, LTCBTC, ENJUSD
RARIEUR 8 0.00765 2.77× 36.0% 32.1% SHDWUSD, OXTUSD, ETHUSD, SAMOUSD, SHPINGUSD
SGBUSD 9 0.00764 2.77× 34.6% 27.4% ARBUSD, STRKUSD, GTCUSD, SAMOUSD, XDCUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00756 2.74× 46.8% 5.8% PAXGUSD, PRIMEUSD, XAUTUSD, SHDWUSD, ELAUSD

Rising influence vs 2026-07-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SBRUSD 0.009040.00347 +0.00556
XRPBTC 0.007340.00257 +0.00477
CQTUSD 0.006840.00225 +0.00459
LTCBTC 0.007560.00330 +0.00426
RENUSD 0.007240.00302 +0.00422

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GOMININGUSD 0.002230.01116 -0.00893
REQUSD 0.002140.01025 -0.00811
OMNIUSD 0.003510.01004 -0.00654
AURORAUSD 0.003040.00844 -0.00541
KNCUSD 0.002170.00697 -0.00480

Foreign exchange

USDEGP was the most central name, carrying 11.44× the influence of an average node across 543 pairs.

pairs
543
Density
0.036
Clustering
0.396
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDEGP 1 0.02107 11.44× 9.2% 1.8% SEKINR, ZARINR, NOKINR, ZARTRY, INRSEK
ARSCOP 2 0.00966 5.24× 4.8% 3.1% LRDGBP, BWPGBP, BWPCHF, GBPCDF, CDFGBP
KRWTHB 3 0.00827 4.49× 5.5% 1.5% THBINR, XAUEUR, XAUINR, CHFINR, XAUJPY
LKRZAR 4 0.00758 4.12× 17.2% 10.0% ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARNGN, KRWINR, SEKINR
TZSZAR 5 0.00749 4.07× 11.1% 12.2% KRWINR, ZARAED, ZARTRY, ZARSGD, LKRZAR
NADUSD 6 0.00722 3.92× 6.3% 1.8% MXNPEN, UYUGBP, GBPUYU, CLPMXN, COPCLP
EUREGP 7 0.00711 3.86× 2.8% 1.3% EURMUR, EGPEUR, EURARS, USDSOS, EURSCR
EGPEUR 8 0.00679 3.69× 2.6% 0.9% EUREGP, UYUEUR, USDNAD, USDSOS, USDALL
CHFRUB 9 0.00674 3.66× 10.9% 4.2% XAUINR, XAUJPY, GBPPEN, PENGBP, PENCAD
COPMXN 10 0.00673 3.65× 9.0% 3.3% HUFUSD, BRLKRW, MXNBRL, ZAREGP, GBPRUB

Rising influence vs 2026-07-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDEGP 0.021070.00377 +0.01729
ARSCOP 0.009660.00276 +0.00689
KRWTHB 0.008270.00291 +0.00536
TZSZAR 0.007490.00261 +0.00487
EGPEUR 0.006790.00193 +0.00486

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZMWZAR 0.004620.01232 -0.00770
EGPZAR 0.001970.00815 -0.00618
ZARNGN 0.003270.00940 -0.00613
ARSAUD 0.001610.00702 -0.00541
USDMUR 0.001990.00670 -0.00471

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.